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Kempsey ShirePopulation forecast

South West Rocks - Jerseyville

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in South West Rocks - Jerseyville is 60-64 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Kempsey Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Gains in almost all age groups throughout the forecast period due to absolute numbers of new dwellings in the area and therefore – larger population gains
  • Gain of young and established families to the area aged 25-39 years old with children aged 0-9 years, attracted to the housing availability
  • Loss of young adults aged 15-24 years who are leaving the area in search of education and employment opportunities elsewhere
  • Two housing markets: along with families, the area gains mature adults, empty nesters and early retirees, 45-64 years old, who migrate to the area for the lifestyle, possible downsizing in housing as children leave home

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