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Kempsey ShirePopulation forecast

Kempsey Shire

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Kempsey Shire is forecast to grow from 13,795 in 2016 to 16,331 in 2036, with the average household size falling from 2.35 to 2.30 by 2036.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Kempsey Shire. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Kempsey ShireForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population29,45630,14731,29632,64934,148
Change in population (5yrs)--6921,1481,3531,499
Average annual change--0.47%0.75%0.85%0.90%
Households12,11512,51113,05113,66814,315
Average household size2.352.332.312.302.30
Population in non private dwellings1,0431,0431,1181,1681,218
Dwellings13,79514,24014,85815,57016,331
Dwelling occupancy rate87.8287.8687.8487.7887.66
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Kempsey Shire was estimated to be 29,456 people. It is expected to increase by over 3,193 people to 32,649 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 1.03%. This is based on an increase of over 1,553 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.35 to 2.30 by 2026.

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