Kempsey Shire
Components of population change
The greatest population change for Kempsey Shire is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,499 people.
There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.
| Components of population change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kempsey Shire | Forecast period | ||||||
| Component | 2012 to 2016 | 2017 to 2021 | 2022 to 2026 | 2027 to 2031 | 2032 to 2036 | ||
| Births | -- | -- | 1,919 | 1,901 | 1,952 | 2,032 | |
| Deaths | -- | -- | 1,710 | 1,763 | 1,932 | 2,105 | |
| Natural increase/decrease | -- | -- | 209 | 138 | 21 | -73 | |
| Net migration | -- | -- | 703 | 1,131 | 1,469 | 1,703 | |
| Change in persons in non-private dwellings | -- | -- | 0 | 75 | 50 | 50 | |
| Total population change | -- | 692 | 1,148 | 1,353 | 1,499 | ||
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (opens a new window), the population experts, November 2017.
