Kempsey Shire
Components of population change
The greatest population change for Kempsey Shire is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,499 people.
There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.
| Components of population change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kempsey Shire | Forecast period | ||||||
| Component | 2012 to 2016 | 2017 to 2021 | 2022 to 2026 | 2027 to 2031 | 2032 to 2036 | ||
| Births | -- | -- | 1,919 | 1,901 | 1,952 | 2,032 | |
| Deaths | -- | -- | 1,710 | 1,763 | 1,932 | 2,105 | |
| Natural increase/decrease | -- | -- | 209 | 138 | 21 | -73 | |
| Net migration | -- | -- | 703 | 1,131 | 1,469 | 1,703 | |
| Change in persons in non-private dwellings | -- | -- | 0 | 75 | 50 | 50 | |
| Total population change | -- | 692 | 1,148 | 1,353 | 1,499 | ||
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (opens a new window), the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast population change
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.