Net migration by age
The age group with the highest net migration in East Kempsey is 45-49 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.
Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.
Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.
Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Kempsey Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.
Major migration assumptions:
- Reduced rates of development and migration rates compared to historic 2012-2016 period
- Suburban regeneration evident in the small area as there is little growth from new dwelling additions expected in the forecast period. Suburban regeneration is where persons in different age cohorts migrate to and from the area as the population ages over time
- Slight loss of established families aged 30-34 years with older children aged 5-9 years
- Loss of young adults aged 25-29
- Some gain of mature adults, empty nesters and early retirees aged 45-59 years