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Golden Plains ShirePopulation forecast

Golden Plains Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Golden Plains Shire indicate a 12.8% increase in population under working age, a 46.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 16.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Golden Plains Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Golden Plains Shire - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,5196.91,7266.63,0597.2+1,540
5 to 91,8008.22,0087.73,3187.9+1,518
10 to 141,7588.01,9927.63,1487.5+1,390
15 to 191,5176.91,7266.62,6826.4+1,165
20 to 241,0444.71,3075.02,2615.4+1,217
25 to 299884.51,2444.72,3285.5+1,340
30 to 341,2725.81,4605.62,7116.4+1,439
35 to 391,4426.51,6816.42,9236.9+1,481
40 to 441,7127.81,8637.12,9737.0+1,261
45 to 491,7277.81,8807.22,8186.7+1,091
50 to 541,5527.01,8557.12,6076.2+1,055
55 to 591,5066.81,7826.82,4725.9+966
60 to 641,3776.31,6086.12,2835.4+906
65 to 691,2105.51,4275.42,0634.9+853
70 to 747553.41,1534.41,7194.1+964
75 to 794191.98433.21,2973.1+878
80 to 842231.04401.79172.2+694
85 and over1950.92460.96161.5+421
Total persons22,016100.026,242100.042,193100.0+20,177
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), July 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Golden Plains Shire was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 424 and account for 3.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 2,008 persons.

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