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Golden Plains ShirePopulation forecast

Golden Plains Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Golden Plains Shire indicate a 15.0% increase in population under working age, a 45.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 20.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Golden Plains Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Golden Plains Shire - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,5096.91,7936.72,1916.8+682
5 to 91,7908.22,0037.52,4467.5+656
10 to 141,7568.02,0197.52,4057.4+649
15 to 191,5076.91,7716.62,0426.3+535
20 to 241,0304.71,3415.01,5914.9+561
25 to 299714.41,3274.91,5954.9+624
30 to 341,2845.91,4965.61,8365.7+552
35 to 391,4346.51,7326.52,1366.6+702
40 to 441,6987.71,9387.22,3117.1+613
45 to 491,7217.81,9387.22,3147.1+593
50 to 541,5487.11,9487.32,2737.0+725
55 to 591,4956.81,8216.82,1126.5+617
60 to 641,3736.31,6046.01,9866.1+613
65 to 691,2005.51,4025.21,7105.3+510
70 to 747513.41,1234.21,3434.1+592
75 to 794201.98483.21,0433.2+623
80 to 842301.04631.77032.2+473
85 and over2121.02591.04111.3+199
Total persons21,929100.026,826100.032,449100.0+10,520
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Golden Plains Shire was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 428 and account for 3.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 2,019 persons.

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