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Golden Plains ShirePopulation forecast

Haddon - Smythesdale and District

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Haddon - Smythesdale and District indicate a 7.4% increase in population under working age, a 47.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 7.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Haddon - Smythesdale and District is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Haddon - Smythesdale and District - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43026.13426.14296.3+127
5 to 94158.44247.65337.9+118
10 to 144118.34458.05518.2+141
15 to 193867.84027.24767.0+90
20 to 242495.02965.33515.2+101
25 to 291943.92644.83114.6+117
30 to 342585.23005.43745.5+116
35 to 392785.63336.04216.2+143
40 to 443988.03856.94817.1+83
45 to 494168.43806.84767.0+60
50 to 543717.53897.04326.4+60
55 to 593968.04007.24276.3+32
60 to 643076.23586.43875.7+80
65 to 692725.53366.03685.4+96
70 to 741422.92374.33064.5+164
75 to 79841.71602.92163.2+131
80 to 84491.0731.31472.2+98
85 and over240.5370.7731.1+49
Total persons4,951100.05,560100.06,758100.0+1,807
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), July 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Haddon - Smythesdale and District was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 8.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 95 and account for 4.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 445 persons.

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