Golden Plains ShirePopulation forecast
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North West

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for North West indicate a 2.2% increase in population under working age, a 61.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Golden Plains Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
North West - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43975.74475.94965.8+99
5 to 95598.15447.16147.2+55
10 to 145437.85417.16167.2+73
15 to 195217.54836.35136.0-9
20 to 243515.13304.33424.0-9
25 to 292944.23194.23243.8+30
30 to 343665.33594.73984.6+31
35 to 393655.34385.75065.9+141
40 to 445347.75327.05977.0+63
45 to 495758.35777.66647.8+90
50 to 545167.56128.06587.7+142
55 to 595538.05637.46027.0+48
60 to 644786.94866.45746.7+96
65 to 694085.94766.25055.9+97
70 to 742173.14005.24234.9+206
75 to 791352.03013.93574.2+221
80 to 84610.91451.92382.8+177
85 and over490.7821.11291.5+80
Total persons6,923100.07,634100.08,555100.0+1,632

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 129 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 238 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 357 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 423 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 505 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 574 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 602 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 658 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 664 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 597 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 506 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 398 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 324 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 342 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 513 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 616 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 614 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 496 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 82 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 145 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 301 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 400 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 476 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 486 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 563 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 612 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 577 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 532 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 438 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 359 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 319 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 330 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 483 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 541 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 544 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 447 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 49 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 61 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 135 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 217 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 408 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 478 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 553 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 516 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 575 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 534 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 365 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 366 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 294 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 351 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 521 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 543 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 559 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 397
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 47 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 94 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 56 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 23 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 29 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 88 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 39 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 46 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 88 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 65 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 68 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 39 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 30 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 75 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 70 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 49 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 33 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 83 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 165 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 183 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 68 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 8 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 10 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 96 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 2 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -1 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 73 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -7 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 25 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -21 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -38 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -3 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -15 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 50
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in North West was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 8.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 183 and account for 5.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 50 to 54 years, with a total of 612 persons.

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