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Golden Plains ShirePopulation forecast

Golden Plains Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Golden Plains Shire is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Golden Plains Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Generally consistent migration profile across the forecast period
  • Attraction of young and mature families (0-9 and 25-44 years)
  • Loss of population in the young adult age groups (18-24 years) as young home leavers seek employment and education in major centres
  • Minor gain of empty nesters (45-55 years)
  • Small net loss in retirees (65-79 years)
  • Stable net migration of elderly aged 80+ years

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