Golden Plains ShirePopulation forecast
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Central West

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Central West indicate a 30.1% increase in population under working age, a 13.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Golden Plains Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Central West - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41586.12167.62487.7+90
5 to 91877.32217.82568.0+69
10 to 141535.92117.42578.0+105
15 to 191676.51675.91966.1+29
20 to 241124.3903.21173.7+6
25 to 29833.21274.51394.3+56
30 to 341074.11535.41705.3+63
35 to 391535.91726.02076.4+54
40 to 441927.51716.02066.4+14
45 to 491987.71625.71865.8-12
50 to 541857.21886.61895.9+4
55 to 591937.51946.81855.8-8
60 to 641877.32127.42287.1+41
65 to 692037.91987.02106.6+8
70 to 741435.61334.71544.8+11
75 to 79843.31234.31304.0+46
80 to 84411.6712.5742.3+33
85 and over261.0371.3501.6+24
Total persons2,570100.02,846100.03,203100.0+633

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 50 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 74 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 130 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 154 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 210 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 228 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 185 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 189 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 186 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 206 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 207 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 170 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 139 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 117 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 196 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 257 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 256 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 248 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 37 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 71 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 123 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 133 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 198 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 212 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 194 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 188 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 162 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 171 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 172 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 153 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 127 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 90 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 167 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 211 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 221 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 216 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 26 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 41 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 84 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 143 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 203 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 187 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 193 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 185 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 198 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 192 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 153 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 107 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 83 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 112 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 167 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 153 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 187 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 158
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 16 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -9 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 24 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 35 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 35 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 16 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 27 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 29 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 46 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 35 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 32 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 11 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 30 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 40 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: -9 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -5 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 25 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 1 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 2 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -36 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -21 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 47 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 44 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -22 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 0 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 59 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 34 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 58
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Central West was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 59 and account for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 221 persons.

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