Golden Plains ShirePopulation forecast
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Golden Plains Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Golden Plains Shire is 'Seniors (70 to 84)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Golden Plains Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Golden Plains Shire - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)1,5096.91,7936.72,1916.8+682
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)2,52711.52,82010.53,43010.6+903
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)2,0009.12,3178.62,7118.4+711
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)1,5567.11,9977.42,3437.2+787
Young workforce (25 to 34)2,25510.32,82310.53,43110.6+1,176
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)4,85322.15,60820.96,76120.8+1,908
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)3,04313.93,76814.04,38513.5+1,342
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)2,57311.73,00611.23,69611.4+1,123
Seniors (70 to 84)1,4016.42,4349.13,0899.5+1,688
Elderly aged (85 and over)2121.02591.04111.3+199
Total persons21,929100.026,826100.032,449100.0+10,520

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 411 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 3,089 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 3,696 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 4,385 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 6,761 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 3,431 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 2,343 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 2,711 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 3,430 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 2,191 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 259 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 2,434 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 3,006 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 3,768 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 5,608 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 2,823 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 1,997 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 2,317 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 2,820 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,793 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 212 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 1,401 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 2,573 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 3,043 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 4,853 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 2,255 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 1,556 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 2,000 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 2,527 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,509
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 152 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 655 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 689 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: 617 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,153 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 608 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 346 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 394 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 610 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 398 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 47 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 1,033 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 433 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 725 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 755 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 568 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 441 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 317 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 293 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 284
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In Golden Plains Shire between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 894 (14.8%), and will comprise 25.8% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 1,513 (36.1%) and comprise 21.2% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 5,608 persons.

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