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East Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast

Paynesville

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for Paynesville indicate a 0.6% increase in females under working age, a 2.8% increase in females of retirement age, and a 3.7% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the East Gippsland Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Paynesville - Total females[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222041Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4932.8982.91412.6+48
5 to 91143.41083.21663.1+52
10 to 141253.81283.71783.3+53
15 to 191123.41183.41603.0+48
20 to 24792.4872.51352.5+56
25 to 29912.7972.81422.7+51
30 to 341043.1982.81532.9+49
35 to 391003.01073.11653.1+65
40 to 441093.31233.61873.5+78
45 to 491695.11644.82294.3+60
50 to 542006.02156.32895.4+89
55 to 592718.12637.74227.9+151
60 to 6434010.236210.555610.4+216
65 to 6940112.041812.267712.6+275
70 to 7443112.943912.866312.4+233
75 to 792738.22928.553610.0+263
80 to 841584.71765.13476.5+190
85 and over1624.91404.12134.0+50
Total persons3,332100.03,432100.05,360100.0+2,028
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for females in Paynesville was ages 70 to 74, which accounted for 12.9% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages 60 to 64, which is expected to increase by 21 and account for 10.5% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2022 is 70 to 74 years, with a total of 439 females.

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