East Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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East Gippsland Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for East Gippsland Shire indicate a 5.3% increase in population under working age, a 30.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of East Gippsland Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
East Gippsland Shire - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 2,4125.32,4925.02,9045.0+492
5 to 9 2,5655.62,6525.33,1025.3+537
10 to 14 2,4875.52,7195.43,1575.4+670
15 to 19 2,3445.22,3494.72,7064.6+361
20 to 24 1,9464.31,9103.82,2323.8+287
25 to 29 2,0234.42,0784.22,3854.1+362
30 to 34 2,0444.52,3884.82,6964.6+652
35 to 39 2,0384.52,4935.02,8444.9+806
40 to 44 2,3455.22,3414.72,8304.8+484
45 to 49 2,7025.92,3234.62,8684.9+166
50 to 54 3,0916.82,8215.63,1775.4+86
55 to 59 3,4507.63,4446.93,6736.3+223
60 to 64 3,6848.13,9717.94,1967.2+512
65 to 69 4,0779.04,2168.44,6698.0+592
70 to 74 3,2257.13,9848.04,6448.0+1,419
75 to 79 2,2334.93,5707.14,1587.1+1,926
80 to 84 1,4653.22,4614.93,4035.8+1,938
85 and over1,3412.91,8433.72,7584.7+1,417
Total persons45,473100.050,056100.058,402100.0+12,929

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 2,758 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 3,403 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 4,158 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 4,644 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 4,669 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 4,196 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 3,673 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 3,177 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 2,868 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 2,830 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 2,844 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 2,696 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 2,385 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 2,232 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 2,706 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 3,157 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 3,102 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 2,904 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,843 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 2,461 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 3,570 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 3,984 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 4,216 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 3,971 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 3,444 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 2,821 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 2,323 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 2,341 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 2,493 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,388 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 2,078 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,910 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 2,349 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 2,719 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 2,652 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,492 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 1,341 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1,465 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 2,233 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 3,225 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 4,077 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 3,684 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 3,450 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 3,091 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 2,702 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 2,345 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 2,038 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 2,044 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 2,023 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,946 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 2,344 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 2,487 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 2,565 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 2,412
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 915 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 942 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 588 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 660 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 453 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 226 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 228 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 356 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 545 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 489 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 351 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 308 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 307 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 322 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 356 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 438 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 450 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 412 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 502 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 996 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 1,338 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 759 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 140 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 286 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -5 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -271 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -379 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -5 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 455 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 345 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 55 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -35 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 5 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 232 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 87 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 80
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in East Gippsland Shire was ages 65 to 69 , which accounted for 9.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 1,338 and account for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 4,216 persons.

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