East Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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East Gippsland Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in East Gippsland Shire is 55-59 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across East Gippsland Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • A dual housing market in operation, consisting of retirees (primarily 55-69 years) moving to selected coastal and rural locations and families (25-49 years and 0-14 years) attracted to relatively affordable housing opportunities in regional towns
  • In common with most of regional Australia, a significant loss of young adults (18-24 years), leaving the region to seek education and employment elsewhere.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 10 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -207 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -201 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 59 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 372 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 614 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 666 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 516 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 243 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 62 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 179 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 378 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 308 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: -71 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -513 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 100 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 312 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 167 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 64 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -148 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -214 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 21 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 317 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 514 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 567 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 431 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 232 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 59 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 150 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 322 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 263 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -111 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -504 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 33 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 238 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 89 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 117 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -88 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -141 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 12 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 283 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 488 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 500 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 353 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 154 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 58 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 174 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 332 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 233 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -167 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -543 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 27 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 208 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 71 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 10 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -207 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -201 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 59 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 372 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 614 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 666 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 516 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 243 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 62 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 179 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 378 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 308 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: -71 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -513 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 100 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 312 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 167 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 64 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -148 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -214 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 21 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 317 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 514 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 567 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 431 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 232 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 59 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 150 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 322 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 263 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -111 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -504 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 33 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 238 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 89 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 117 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -88 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -141 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 12 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 283 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 488 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 500 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 353 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 154 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 58 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 174 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 332 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 233 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -167 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -543 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 27 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 208 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 71
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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