East Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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East Gippsland Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in East Gippsland Shire will increase by an average of 323 dwellings per annum to 32,271 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in East Gippsland Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2041
East Gippsland ShireChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2041
Areanumber%
East Gippsland Shire+8,067+33.3
Bairnsdale+2,891+38.0
Bruthen - Buchan+85+10.8
Lakes Entrance+922+20.1
Lindenow+230+27.3
Mallacoota - Cann River+101+8.0
Metung+604+51.9
Omeo - Swifts Creek+25+2.7
Orbost+169+7.3
Paynesville+2,521+71.9
Twin Rivers+519+42.9

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2018.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 32,271 2040 Total dwellings: 31,933 2039 Total dwellings: 31,599 2038 Total dwellings: 31,272 2037 Total dwellings: 30,945 2036 Total dwellings: 30,619 2035 Total dwellings: 30,296 2034 Total dwellings: 29,964 2033 Total dwellings: 29,641 2032 Total dwellings: 29,320 2031 Total dwellings: 29,001 2030 Total dwellings: 28,679 2029 Total dwellings: 28,353 2028 Total dwellings: 28,025 2027 Total dwellings: 27,707 2026 Total dwellings: 27,389 2025 Total dwellings: 27,073 2024 Total dwellings: 26,755 2023 Total dwellings: 26,440 2022 Total dwellings: 26,128 2021 Total dwellings: 25,816 2020 Total dwellings: 25,492 2019 Total dwellings: 25,173 2018 Total dwellings: 24,842 2017 Total dwellings: 24,515 2041 Total dwellings: 32,271 2040 Total dwellings: 31,933 2039 Total dwellings: 31,599 2038 Total dwellings: 31,272 2037 Total dwellings: 30,945 2036 Total dwellings: 30,619 2035 Total dwellings: 30,296 2034 Total dwellings: 29,964 2033 Total dwellings: 29,641 2032 Total dwellings: 29,320 2031 Total dwellings: 29,001 2030 Total dwellings: 28,679 2029 Total dwellings: 28,353 2028 Total dwellings: 28,025 2027 Total dwellings: 27,707 2026 Total dwellings: 27,389 2025 Total dwellings: 27,073 2024 Total dwellings: 26,755 2023 Total dwellings: 26,440 2022 Total dwellings: 26,128 2021 Total dwellings: 25,816 2020 Total dwellings: 25,492 2019 Total dwellings: 25,173 2018 Total dwellings: 24,842 2017 Total dwellings: 24,515 2041 Forecast development: 338 2040 Forecast development: 334 2039 Forecast development: 327 2038 Forecast development: 327 2037 Forecast development: 326 2036 Forecast development: 323 2035 Forecast development: 332 2034 Forecast development: 323 2033 Forecast development: 321 2032 Forecast development: 319 2031 Forecast development: 322 2030 Forecast development: 326 2029 Forecast development: 328 2028 Forecast development: 318 2027 Forecast development: 318 2026 Forecast development: 316 2025 Forecast development: 318 2024 Forecast development: 315 2023 Forecast development: 312 2022 Forecast development: 312 2021 Forecast development: 324 2020 Forecast development: 319 2019 Forecast development: 331 2018 Forecast development: 327 2017 Forecast development: 311
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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