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The 2020 population forecast for Bairnsdale is 17,492, and is forecast to grow to 22,159 by 2041.
Bairnsdale is bounded by the localities of Marthavale and Stirling in the north, Old Omeo Road, Shady Creek Road, Pound Yard Road, Little Dick Range Road, the locality of Fairy Dell, the Nicholson River, the localities of Wiseleigh, Mossiface and Tambo Upper, Duncan Road, Waddells Road, the locality of Nicholson, the Mitchell River, Paynesville Road, Barkhill Road, Peecks Road and the locality of Newlands Arm in the east, Wellington Shire in the south, and Cousens Road, Boundary Road, Redcourt Lane, the locality of Hillside, the Mitchell River, the localities of Calulu, Ellaswood and Merrijig and the Wentworth River in the west.
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