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East Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast

East Gippsland Shire

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for East Gippsland Shire indicate a 0.2% increase in females under working age, a 1.8% increase in females of retirement age, and a 2.0% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the East Gippsland Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
East Gippsland Shire - Total females[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222041Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)1,0794.41,1174.51,3904.4+311
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)1,7757.21,7637.12,1126.7+337
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)1,5056.11,5276.11,8115.8+306
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)1,2745.21,3505.41,6765.3+402
Young workforce (25 to 34)2,2899.32,3319.32,8129.0+523
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)3,72215.23,80715.35,00915.9+1,287
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)3,42614.03,44313.84,05312.9+627
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)4,29017.54,32817.35,08716.2+797
Seniors (70 to 84)4,32617.64,47217.96,31820.1+1,992
Elderly aged (85 and over)8563.58103.21,1463.6+290
Total persons24,543100.024,947100.031,416100.0+6,873
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for females in East Gippsland Shire was ages Seniors (70 to 84), which accounted for 17.6% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages Seniors (70 to 84), which is expected to increase by 146 and account for 17.9% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2022 is Seniors (70 to 84) years, with a total of 4,472 females.

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