Yarra Ranges CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Yarra Ranges Shire

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Yarra Ranges Shire is forecast to grow from 59,592 in 2016 to 67,928 in 2031, with the average household size falling from 2.67 to 2.59 by 2031.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Yarra Ranges Shire. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Yarra Ranges ShireForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population155,313161,147166,481172,172178,150
Change in population (5yrs)--5,8345,3345,6915,978
Average annual change--0.74%0.65%0.67%0.69%
Households57,61660,51063,14665,62168,075
Average household size2.672.642.602.592.58
Population in non private dwellings1,4071,5671,9972,2112,371
Dwellings59,59262,68265,39267,92870,450
Dwelling occupancy rate96.6896.5396.5796.6096.63

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2036 Average household size: 2.58 2035 Average household size: 2.58 2034 Average household size: 2.58 2033 Average household size: 2.59 2032 Average household size: 2.59 2031 Average household size: 2.59 2030 Average household size: 2.59 2029 Average household size: 2.60 2028 Average household size: 2.60 2027 Average household size: 2.60 2026 Average household size: 2.60 2025 Average household size: 2.61 2024 Average household size: 2.62 2023 Average household size: 2.62 2022 Average household size: 2.63 2021 Average household size: 2.64 2020 Average household size: 2.65 2019 Average household size: 2.66 2018 Average household size: 2.66 2017 Average household size: 2.67 2016 Average household size: 2.67 2036 Average household size: 2.58 2035 Average household size: 2.58 2034 Average household size: 2.58 2033 Average household size: 2.59 2032 Average household size: 2.59 2031 Average household size: 2.59 2030 Average household size: 2.59 2029 Average household size: 2.60 2028 Average household size: 2.60 2027 Average household size: 2.60 2026 Average household size: 2.60 2025 Average household size: 2.61 2024 Average household size: 2.62 2023 Average household size: 2.62 2022 Average household size: 2.63 2021 Average household size: 2.64 2020 Average household size: 2.65 2019 Average household size: 2.66 2018 Average household size: 2.66 2017 Average household size: 2.67 2036 Households: 68,078 2035 Households: 67,593 2034 Households: 67,098 2033 Households: 66,603 2032 Households: 66,110 2031 Households: 65,618 2030 Households: 65,123 2029 Households: 64,633 2028 Households: 64,143 2027 Households: 63,649 2026 Households: 63,146 2025 Households: 62,640 2024 Households: 62,132 2023 Households: 61,615 2022 Households: 61,071 2021 Households: 60,508 2020 Households: 59,927 2019 Households: 59,320 2018 Households: 58,741 2017 Households: 58,169 2016 Households: 57,620 2036 Total population: 178,150 2035 Total population: 176,987 2034 Total population: 175,816 2033 Total population: 174,507 2032 Total population: 173,325 2031 Total population: 172,172 2030 Total population: 170,996 2029 Total population: 169,821 2028 Total population: 168,677 2027 Total population: 167,655 2026 Total population: 166,481 2025 Total population: 165,394 2024 Total population: 164,361 2023 Total population: 163,420 2022 Total population: 162,514 2021 Total population: 161,147 2020 Total population: 160,146 2019 Total population: 159,157 2018 Total population: 158,068 2017 Total population: 156,925 2016 Total population: 155,313
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Yarra Ranges Shire was estimated to be 155,313 people. It is expected to increase by over 16,800 people to 172,172 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 1.04%. This is based on an increase of over 8,000 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.67 to 2.59 by 2026.

The number of dwellings in Yarra Ranges Shire is forecast to grow from 59,592 in 2016 to 67,928 in 2031, with the average household size falling from 2.67 to 2.59 by 2031.

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