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Yarra Ranges CouncilPopulation forecast

Chirnside Park

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Chirnside Park is forecast to grow from 4,506 in 2021 to 5,715 in 2046, with the average household size falling from 2.81 to 2.72 by 2046.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Yarra Ranges Council. The period 2021 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Chirnside ParkForecast year
Summary202120262031203620412046
Population12,27813,37014,16214,57414,96015,326
Change in population (5yrs)--1,093792412385367
Average annual change--1.72%1.16%0.58%0.52%0.49%
Households4,3674,6774,9825,1705,3495,528
Average household size2.812.802.792.772.752.72
Population in non private dwellings25269269269269269
Dwellings4,5064,8355,1505,3455,5305,715
Dwelling occupancy rate96.9296.7396.7496.7396.7396.73
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Chirnside Park was estimated to be 12,278 people. It is expected to increase by over 1,884 people to 14,162 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 1.44%. This is based on an increase of over 615 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.81 to 2.79 by 2031.

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