Yarra Ranges CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Yarra Ranges Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Yarra Ranges Shire will increase by an average of 543 dwellings per annum to 70,451 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Yarra Ranges Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
Yarra Ranges ShireChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
Yarra Ranges Shire+10,858+18.2
Belgrave - Selby+20+0.9
Belgrave Heights & Surrounds+26+2.1
Chirnside Park+2,214+56.5
Gruyere - Coldstream - Yering+57+4.7
Healesville & Surrounds+540+12.3
Hilltop Towns+43+1.9
Kallista & Surrounds+72+3.5
Kilsyth+812+20.6
Launching Place - Woori Yallock - Don Valley+64+2.7
Lilydale+3,593+53.6
Monbulk - Silvan+102+5.5
Montrose+68+2.7
Mooroolbark+1,551+18.6
Mount Evelyn+187+5.2
Rural South & East+72+4.9
Seville - Seville East+232+19.6
Upwey & Surrounds+161+4.2
Wandin & Surrounds+235+18.3
Warburton & Surrounds+44+2.7
Yarra Glen & Surrounds+245+17.3
Yarra Junction - Millgrove - Wesburn+520+22.6

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 70,451 2035 Total dwellings: 69,955 2034 Total dwellings: 69,447 2033 Total dwellings: 68,939 2032 Total dwellings: 68,434 2031 Total dwellings: 67,929 2030 Total dwellings: 67,422 2029 Total dwellings: 66,919 2028 Total dwellings: 66,416 2027 Total dwellings: 65,909 2026 Total dwellings: 65,393 2025 Total dwellings: 64,874 2024 Total dwellings: 64,352 2023 Total dwellings: 63,822 2022 Total dwellings: 63,263 2021 Total dwellings: 62,683 2020 Total dwellings: 62,089 2019 Total dwellings: 61,467 2018 Total dwellings: 60,829 2017 Total dwellings: 60,200 2036 Total dwellings: 70,451 2035 Total dwellings: 69,955 2034 Total dwellings: 69,447 2033 Total dwellings: 68,939 2032 Total dwellings: 68,434 2031 Total dwellings: 67,929 2030 Total dwellings: 67,422 2029 Total dwellings: 66,919 2028 Total dwellings: 66,416 2027 Total dwellings: 65,909 2026 Total dwellings: 65,393 2025 Total dwellings: 64,874 2024 Total dwellings: 64,352 2023 Total dwellings: 63,822 2022 Total dwellings: 63,263 2021 Total dwellings: 62,683 2020 Total dwellings: 62,089 2019 Total dwellings: 61,467 2018 Total dwellings: 60,829 2017 Total dwellings: 60,200 2036 Forecast development: 496 2035 Forecast development: 508 2034 Forecast development: 508 2033 Forecast development: 505 2032 Forecast development: 505 2031 Forecast development: 507 2030 Forecast development: 503 2029 Forecast development: 503 2028 Forecast development: 507 2027 Forecast development: 516 2026 Forecast development: 519 2025 Forecast development: 522 2024 Forecast development: 530 2023 Forecast development: 559 2022 Forecast development: 580 2021 Forecast development: 594 2020 Forecast development: 622 2019 Forecast development: 638 2018 Forecast development: 629 2017 Forecast development: 607
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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