Yarra Ranges CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Yarra Ranges Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Yarra Ranges Shire indicate a 3.3% increase in population under working age, a 37.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Yarra Ranges Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Yarra Ranges Shire - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 9,8726.410,2116.110,8536.1+981
5 to 9 10,3066.610,4396.311,0446.2+738
10 to 14 9,8986.410,4076.311,0206.2+1,123
15 to 19 10,2036.610,1516.110,6186.0+415
20 to 24 9,6446.29,3585.610,0015.6+357
25 to 29 9,7086.39,3965.69,9585.6+250
30 to 34 9,6956.210,1586.110,7306.0+1,035
35 to 39 9,6426.210,9546.611,5356.5+1,893
40 to 44 10,8847.011,2536.812,0516.8+1,167
45 to 49 11,1937.210,6616.411,7266.6+533
50 to 54 11,0227.110,9096.611,3556.4+333
55 to 59 10,6336.810,6006.410,6826.0+48
60 to 64 9,2626.09,8195.910,1705.7+908
65 to 69 8,4355.49,3625.69,7415.5+1,306
70 to 74 6,0483.97,9714.88,6554.9+2,607
75 to 79 3,9072.56,9094.17,8064.4+3,899
80 to 84 2,4141.64,5742.75,7763.2+3,362
85 and over2,5481.63,3492.04,4292.5+1,882
Total persons155,313100.0166,481100.0178,150100.0+22,838

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 4,429 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 5,776 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 7,806 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 8,655 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 9,741 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 10,170 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 10,682 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 11,355 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 11,726 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 12,051 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 11,535 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 10,730 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 9,958 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 10,001 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 10,618 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 11,020 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 11,044 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 10,853 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 3,349 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 4,574 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 6,909 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 7,971 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 9,362 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 9,819 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 10,600 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 10,909 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 10,661 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 11,253 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 10,954 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 10,158 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 9,396 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 9,358 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 10,151 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 10,407 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 10,439 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 10,211 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 2,548 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 2,414 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 3,907 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 6,048 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 8,435 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 9,262 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 10,633 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 11,022 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 11,193 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 10,884 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 9,642 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 9,695 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 9,708 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 9,644 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 10,203 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 9,898 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 10,306 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 9,872
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 1,081 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 1,202 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 897 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 684 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 379 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 351 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 82 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 446 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,065 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 798 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 581 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 572 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 562 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 643 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 466 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 613 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 606 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 641 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 801 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 2,161 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 3,001 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 1,923 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 928 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 556 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -33 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -114 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -532 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 369 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 1,312 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 463 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -311 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -286 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -52 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 509 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 133 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 339
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Yarra Ranges Shire was ages 45 to 49 , which accounted for 7.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 3,001 and account for 4.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 11,253 persons.

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