Yarra Ranges CouncilPopulation forecast
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Yarra Ranges Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Yarra Ranges Shire indicate a 2.6% increase in population under working age, a 70.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.0% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Yarra Ranges Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Yarra Ranges Shire - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 9,6076.59,8566.110,4986.1+891
5 to 9 9,5116.410,1146.310,7646.2+1,253
10 to 14 10,1106.810,0306.210,7696.2+659
15 to 19 10,7647.29,7966.110,4386.0-325
20 to 24 10,0956.89,0345.69,7385.6-357
25 to 29 8,6675.88,9825.69,5955.5+928
30 to 34 8,7695.99,8896.110,4206.0+1,651
35 to 39 10,3196.910,5896.611,2526.5+933
40 to 44 11,1427.510,8216.711,8046.8+662
45 to 49 11,2107.510,4676.511,4636.6+253
50 to 54 11,0817.410,7256.611,0696.4-12
55 to 59 9,9396.710,3386.410,5026.1+563
60 to 64 9,3246.39,6106.09,9955.8+671
65 to 69 6,6274.59,1515.79,5445.5+2,917
70 to 74 4,3802.97,8364.98,5144.9+4,134
75 to 79 2,9722.06,8204.27,5924.4+4,621
80 to 84 2,3271.64,3972.75,5323.2+3,205
85 and over1,9301.32,8391.83,5072.0+1,577
Total persons148,773100.0161,293100.0172,996100.0+24,223

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2013.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 3,507 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 5,532 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 7,592 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 8,514 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 9,544 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 9,995 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 10,502 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 11,069 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 11,463 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 11,804 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 11,252 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 10,420 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 9,595 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 9,738 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 10,438 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 10,769 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 10,764 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 10,498 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 2,839 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 4,397 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 6,820 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 7,836 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 9,151 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 9,610 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 10,338 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 10,725 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 10,467 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 10,821 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 10,589 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 9,889 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 8,982 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 9,034 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 9,796 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 10,030 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 10,114 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 9,856 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 1,930 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 2,327 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 2,972 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 4,380 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 6,627 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 9,324 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 9,939 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 11,081 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 11,210 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 11,142 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 10,319 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 8,769 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 8,667 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 10,095 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 10,764 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 10,110 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 9,511 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 9,607
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2013.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 668 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 1,135 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 773 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 678 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 393 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 385 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 164 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 345 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 996 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 983 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 663 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 531 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 613 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 704 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 643 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 738 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 650 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 642 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 909 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 2,070 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 3,848 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 3,456 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 2,524 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 286 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 399 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: -356 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: -744 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: -321 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 270 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 1,120 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 315 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: -1,061 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: -968 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: -80 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 603 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 249
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2013.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Yarra Ranges Shire was ages 45 to 49 , which accounted for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 3,848 and account for 4.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 10,821 persons.

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