Yarra Ranges CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Yarra Ranges Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Yarra Ranges Shire is 30-34 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Yarra Ranges Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Limited housing opportunities across the non-urban areas of the Council area
  • Major development in the activity centres of Chirnside Park, Lilydale, Kilsyth and Mooroolbark
  • Strong attraction of the area to predominantly young and maturing families
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -278 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -247 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -216 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -267 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -328 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -412 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -381 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -230 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 129 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 439 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 829 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 895 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 352 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -506 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -437 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -38 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 376 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 731 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -136 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -75 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -95 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -177 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -248 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -400 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -416 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -227 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 48 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 603 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 933 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 806 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 214 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -648 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -421 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 22 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 333 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 732 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -278 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -247 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -216 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -267 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -328 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -412 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -381 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -230 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 129 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 439 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 829 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 895 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 352 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -506 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -437 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -38 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 376 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 731 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -136 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -75 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -95 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -177 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -248 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -400 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -416 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -227 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 48 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 603 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 933 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 806 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 214 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -648 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -421 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 22 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 333 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 732
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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