Yarra Ranges CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Yarra Ranges Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Yarra Ranges Shire is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 5,978 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Yarra Ranges ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--9,5459,6729,81810,149
Deaths--4,7195,1795,7086,064
Natural increase/decrease--4,8264,4934,1104,085
Net migration--8494111,3661,734
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--160430214160

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 1,163 2035 forecast population change: 1,171 2034 forecast population change: 1,309 2033 forecast population change: 1,182 2032 forecast population change: 1,154 2031 forecast population change: 1,176 2030 forecast population change: 1,175 2029 forecast population change: 1,144 2028 forecast population change: 1,022 2027 forecast population change: 1,174 2026 forecast population change: 1,087 2025 forecast population change: 1,033 2024 forecast population change: 941 2023 forecast population change: 906 2022 forecast population change: 1,367 2021 forecast population change: 1,001 2020 forecast population change: 989 2019 forecast population change: 1,089 2018 forecast population change: 1,143 2017 forecast population change: 1,612
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 829 2035 Natural increase: 821 2034 Natural increase: 814 2033 Natural increase: 811 2032 Natural increase: 809 2031 Natural increase: 809 2030 Natural increase: 812 2029 Natural increase: 819 2028 Natural increase: 829 2027 Natural increase: 842 2026 Natural increase: 858 2025 Natural increase: 876 2024 Natural increase: 897 2023 Natural increase: 921 2022 Natural increase: 941 2021 Natural increase: 950 2020 Natural increase: 961 2019 Natural increase: 970 2018 Natural increase: 976 2017 Natural increase: 969 2036 Total deaths: 1,232 2035 Total deaths: 1,224 2034 Total deaths: 1,215 2033 Total deaths: 1,203 2032 Total deaths: 1,190 2031 Total deaths: 1,177 2030 Total deaths: 1,161 2029 Total deaths: 1,144 2028 Total deaths: 1,124 2027 Total deaths: 1,102 2026 Total deaths: 1,080 2025 Total deaths: 1,059 2024 Total deaths: 1,037 2023 Total deaths: 1,014 2022 Total deaths: 988 2021 Total deaths: 973 2020 Total deaths: 958 2019 Total deaths: 942 2018 Total deaths: 929 2017 Total deaths: 917 2036 Total births: 2,061 2035 Total births: 2,045 2034 Total births: 2,029 2033 Total births: 2,014 2032 Total births: 1,999 2031 Total births: 1,985 2030 Total births: 1,973 2029 Total births: 1,962 2028 Total births: 1,953 2027 Total births: 1,944 2026 Total births: 1,938 2025 Total births: 1,935 2024 Total births: 1,934 2023 Total births: 1,935 2022 Total births: 1,928 2021 Total births: 1,923 2020 Total births: 1,919 2019 Total births: 1,912 2018 Total births: 1,905 2017 Total births: 1,886 2036 Natural increase: 829 2035 Natural increase: 821 2034 Natural increase: 814 2033 Natural increase: 811 2032 Natural increase: 809 2031 Natural increase: 809 2030 Natural increase: 812 2029 Natural increase: 819 2028 Natural increase: 829 2027 Natural increase: 842 2026 Natural increase: 858 2025 Natural increase: 876 2024 Natural increase: 897 2023 Natural increase: 921 2022 Natural increase: 941 2021 Natural increase: 950 2020 Natural increase: 961 2019 Natural increase: 970 2018 Natural increase: 976 2017 Natural increase: 969 2036 Total deaths: 1,232 2035 Total deaths: 1,224 2034 Total deaths: 1,215 2033 Total deaths: 1,203 2032 Total deaths: 1,190 2031 Total deaths: 1,177 2030 Total deaths: 1,161 2029 Total deaths: 1,144 2028 Total deaths: 1,124 2027 Total deaths: 1,102 2026 Total deaths: 1,080 2025 Total deaths: 1,059 2024 Total deaths: 1,037 2023 Total deaths: 1,014 2022 Total deaths: 988 2021 Total deaths: 973 2020 Total deaths: 958 2019 Total deaths: 942 2018 Total deaths: 929 2017 Total deaths: 917 2036 Total births: 2,061 2035 Total births: 2,045 2034 Total births: 2,029 2033 Total births: 2,014 2032 Total births: 1,999 2031 Total births: 1,985 2030 Total births: 1,973 2029 Total births: 1,962 2028 Total births: 1,953 2027 Total births: 1,944 2026 Total births: 1,938 2025 Total births: 1,935 2024 Total births: 1,934 2023 Total births: 1,935 2022 Total births: 1,928 2021 Total births: 1,923 2020 Total births: 1,919 2019 Total births: 1,912 2018 Total births: 1,905 2017 Total births: 1,886
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 334 2035 Total net migration: 350 2034 Total net migration: 374 2033 Total net migration: 331 2032 Total net migration: 345 2031 Total net migration: 328 2030 Total net migration: 264 2029 Total net migration: 250 2028 Total net migration: 193 2027 Total net migration: 333 2026 Total net migration: 109 2025 Total net migration: 37 2024 Total net migration: -31 2023 Total net migration: -90 2022 Total net migration: 386 2021 Total net migration: 52 2020 Total net migration: 28 2019 Total net migration: 119 2018 Total net migration: 7 2017 Total net migration: 643 2036 Total out migration: 16,633 2035 Total out migration: 16,521 2034 Total out migration: 16,409 2033 Total out migration: 16,302 2032 Total out migration: 16,191 2031 Total out migration: 16,081 2030 Total out migration: 15,968 2029 Total out migration: 15,852 2028 Total out migration: 15,742 2027 Total out migration: 15,618 2026 Total out migration: 15,513 2025 Total out migration: 15,427 2024 Total out migration: 15,341 2023 Total out migration: 15,267 2022 Total out migration: 15,140 2021 Total out migration: 15,043 2020 Total out migration: 14,955 2019 Total out migration: 14,867 2018 Total out migration: 14,793 2017 Total out migration: 14,650 2036 Total in migration: 16,967 2035 Total in migration: 16,871 2034 Total in migration: 16,783 2033 Total in migration: 16,633 2032 Total in migration: 16,536 2031 Total in migration: 16,408 2030 Total in migration: 16,232 2029 Total in migration: 16,102 2028 Total in migration: 15,935 2027 Total in migration: 15,950 2026 Total in migration: 15,622 2025 Total in migration: 15,464 2024 Total in migration: 15,310 2023 Total in migration: 15,177 2022 Total in migration: 15,526 2021 Total in migration: 15,094 2020 Total in migration: 14,983 2019 Total in migration: 14,985 2018 Total in migration: 14,800 2017 Total in migration: 15,293 2036 Total net migration: 334 2035 Total net migration: 350 2034 Total net migration: 374 2033 Total net migration: 331 2032 Total net migration: 345 2031 Total net migration: 328 2030 Total net migration: 264 2029 Total net migration: 250 2028 Total net migration: 193 2027 Total net migration: 333 2026 Total net migration: 109 2025 Total net migration: 37 2024 Total net migration: -31 2023 Total net migration: -90 2022 Total net migration: 386 2021 Total net migration: 52 2020 Total net migration: 28 2019 Total net migration: 119 2018 Total net migration: 7 2017 Total net migration: 643 2036 Total out migration: 16,633 2035 Total out migration: 16,521 2034 Total out migration: 16,409 2033 Total out migration: 16,302 2032 Total out migration: 16,191 2031 Total out migration: 16,081 2030 Total out migration: 15,968 2029 Total out migration: 15,852 2028 Total out migration: 15,742 2027 Total out migration: 15,618 2026 Total out migration: 15,513 2025 Total out migration: 15,427 2024 Total out migration: 15,341 2023 Total out migration: 15,267 2022 Total out migration: 15,140 2021 Total out migration: 15,043 2020 Total out migration: 14,955 2019 Total out migration: 14,867 2018 Total out migration: 14,793 2017 Total out migration: 14,650 2036 Total in migration: 16,967 2035 Total in migration: 16,871 2034 Total in migration: 16,783 2033 Total in migration: 16,633 2032 Total in migration: 16,536 2031 Total in migration: 16,408 2030 Total in migration: 16,232 2029 Total in migration: 16,102 2028 Total in migration: 15,935 2027 Total in migration: 15,950 2026 Total in migration: 15,622 2025 Total in migration: 15,464 2024 Total in migration: 15,310 2023 Total in migration: 15,177 2022 Total in migration: 15,526 2021 Total in migration: 15,094 2020 Total in migration: 14,983 2019 Total in migration: 14,985 2018 Total in migration: 14,800 2017 Total in migration: 15,293
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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