Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shoalhaven City

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Shoalhaven City indicate a 13.5% increase in population under working age, a 21.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Shoalhaven City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Shoalhaven City - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 5,5585.56,0775.46,6195.4+1,061
5 to 9 5,9175.86,6736.07,2675.9+1,350
10 to 14 5,6575.66,7036.07,5256.1+1,868
15 to 19 5,5145.45,8225.26,6015.4+1,087
20 to 24 5,0264.94,6074.15,2234.2+197
25 to 29 4,9914.94,7174.25,0794.1+88
30 to 34 4,9964.95,2704.75,5794.5+584
35 to 39 4,9054.85,8475.26,3035.1+1,397
40 to 44 5,5615.56,1845.56,8555.6+1,294
45 to 49 5,8725.86,1575.57,0925.8+1,221
50 to 54 6,6126.56,6756.07,4866.1+874
55 to 59 7,5887.57,2336.57,8886.4+300
60 to 64 7,7237.68,2237.48,7337.1+1,010
65 to 69 8,2318.18,7477.88,9697.3+739
70 to 74 6,4906.47,7376.98,4406.9+1,949
75 to 79 4,8104.76,7226.07,4186.0+2,608
80 to 84 3,2223.24,5284.15,4734.4+2,251
85 and over3,1083.13,7233.34,6183.7+1,510
Total persons101,779100.0111,645100.0123,168100.0+21,389

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 4,618 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 5,473 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 7,418 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 8,440 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 8,969 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 8,733 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 7,888 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 7,486 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 7,092 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 6,855 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 6,303 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 5,579 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 5,079 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 5,223 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 6,601 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 7,525 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 7,267 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 6,619 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 3,723 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 4,528 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 6,722 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 7,737 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 8,747 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 8,223 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 7,233 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 6,675 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 6,157 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 6,184 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 5,847 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 5,270 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 4,717 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 4,607 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 5,822 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 6,703 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 6,673 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 6,077 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 3,108 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 3,222 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 4,810 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 6,490 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 8,231 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 7,723 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 7,588 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 6,612 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 5,872 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 5,561 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 4,905 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 4,996 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 4,991 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 5,026 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 5,514 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 5,657 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 5,917 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 5,558
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 895 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 944 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 695 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 703 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 222 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 510 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 655 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 810 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 935 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 671 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 456 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 310 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 363 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 617 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 779 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 822 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 594 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 543 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 615 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 1,307 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 1,913 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 1,246 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 517 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 500 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -355 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 63 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 285 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 624 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 942 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 274 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -274 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -419 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 308 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 1,047 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 756 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 518
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Shoalhaven City was ages 65 to 69 , which accounted for 8.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 1,913 and account for 6.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 8,747 persons.

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