Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Shoalhaven City

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Shoalhaven City indicate a 11.4% increase in population under working age, a 34.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Shoalhaven City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Shoalhaven City - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 5,4115.65,9155.56,4685.4+1,057
5 to 9 5,5245.76,4676.07,1156.0+1,592
10 to 14 6,0776.36,5626.17,3676.2+1,290
15 to 19 6,0856.35,7425.36,4455.4+361
20 to 24 4,6894.94,6174.35,1074.3+417
25 to 29 4,1714.34,6274.34,9654.2+794
30 to 34 4,2854.55,0854.75,4124.5+1,128
35 to 39 5,1085.35,5665.16,1025.1+994
40 to 44 5,5925.85,9475.56,6725.6+1,080
45 to 49 6,3106.66,1075.66,9245.8+613
50 to 54 7,0107.36,6396.17,3646.2+354
55 to 59 6,6406.97,1676.67,8126.5+1,172
60 to 64 7,2957.68,0687.58,5157.1+1,220
65 to 69 6,5826.88,3237.78,6477.2+2,064
70 to 74 5,4115.67,2616.78,0846.8+2,673
75 to 79 4,2344.46,1415.76,9905.9+2,756
80 to 84 3,2493.44,3144.05,1384.3+1,889
85 and over2,5842.73,6423.44,3413.6+1,757
Total persons96,257100.0108,192100.0119,467100.0+23,211

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2015.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 4,341 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 5,138 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 6,990 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 8,084 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 8,647 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 8,515 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 7,812 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 7,364 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 6,924 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 6,672 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 6,102 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 5,412 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 4,965 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 5,107 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 6,445 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 7,367 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 7,115 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 6,468 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 3,642 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 4,314 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 6,141 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 7,261 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 8,323 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 8,068 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 7,167 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 6,639 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 6,107 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 5,947 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 5,566 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 5,085 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 4,627 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 4,617 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 5,742 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 6,562 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 6,467 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 5,915 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 2,584 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 3,249 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 4,234 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 5,411 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 6,582 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 7,295 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 6,640 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 7,010 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 6,310 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 5,592 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 5,108 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 4,285 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 4,171 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 4,689 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 6,085 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 6,077 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 5,524 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 5,411
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2015.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 698 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 824 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 849 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 823 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 324 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 447 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 645 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 724 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 816 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 724 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 536 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 327 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 338 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 489 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 703 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 806 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 648 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 553 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 1,059 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 1,065 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 1,907 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 1,850 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 1,741 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 773 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 527 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: -370 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: -203 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 355 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 458 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 800 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 456 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: -72 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: -343 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 484 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 943 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 505
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2015.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Shoalhaven City was ages 60 to 64 , which accounted for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 1,907 and account for 5.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 8,323 persons.

v17.06.20-1.0.0