Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

Shoalhaven City

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Shoalhaven City is 60-64 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Shoalhaven City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • A dual housing market, consisting of families with younger children, as well as retirees (50-69 years)
  • Loss of young adults (18-24 years), many of whom are leaving the family home after completing secondary education.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -109 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -298 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -352 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -97 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 433 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 1,140 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 1,093 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 749 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 662 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 595 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 785 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 656 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 310 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -434 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -1,023 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 215 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 655 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 817 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -63 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -179 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -177 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -126 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 394 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 1,038 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 855 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 715 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 478 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 648 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 767 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 429 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 47 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -640 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -965 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 200 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 581 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 634 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -109 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -298 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -352 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -97 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 433 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 1,140 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 1,093 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 749 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 662 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 595 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 785 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 656 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 310 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -434 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -1,023 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 215 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 655 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 817 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -63 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -179 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -177 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -126 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 394 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 1,038 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 855 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 715 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 478 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 648 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 767 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 429 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 47 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -640 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -965 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 200 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 581 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 634
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
v17.12.12-1.0.0