Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shoalhaven City

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Shoalhaven City will increase by an average of 576 dwellings per annum to 66,555 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Shoalhaven City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
Shoalhaven CityChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
Shoalhaven City+11,510+20.9
Bangalee - Cambewarra Village - Tapitallee & Surrounds+1,485+131.4
Berry & Surrounds+236+10.8
Bomaderry+257+8.2
Burrill Lake - Kings Point - Dolphin Point - Lake Tabourie+399+22.9
Callala Bay - Callala Beach - Currarong - Myola & Surrounds+339+11.4
Coastal Mid+274+12.8
Coastal South+140+9.5
Culburra Beach - Orient Point+401+15.9
Greenwell Point - Terara & Surrounds+48+4.6
Huskisson - Falls Creek - Tomerong - Woollamia+291+16.0
Milton - Mollymook - Mollymook Beach - Narrawallee & Surrounds+1,331+32.1
North Nowra+700+28.6
Nowra+452+10.3
Rural Balance+160+11.0
Sanctuary Point+317+7.5
Shoalhaven Heads+108+6.3
St Georges Basin - Basin View+639+28.5
Sussex Inlet - Swanhaven - Berrara - Cudmirrah & Surrounds+503+15.8
Ulladulla+616+18.0
Vincentia - Erowal Bay & Surrounds+761+19.3
West Nowra - South Nowra - Nowra Hill & Surrounds+1,774+99.0
Worrigee+279+14.5
Nowra Bomaderry Structure Plan Area+4,947+33.4
Ulladulla Region+2,346+25.2

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 66,555 2035 Total dwellings: 65,986 2034 Total dwellings: 65,404 2033 Total dwellings: 64,806 2032 Total dwellings: 64,197 2031 Total dwellings: 63,585 2030 Total dwellings: 62,969 2029 Total dwellings: 62,372 2028 Total dwellings: 61,770 2027 Total dwellings: 61,179 2026 Total dwellings: 60,604 2025 Total dwellings: 60,056 2024 Total dwellings: 59,489 2023 Total dwellings: 58,918 2022 Total dwellings: 58,327 2021 Total dwellings: 57,718 2020 Total dwellings: 57,127 2019 Total dwellings: 56,551 2018 Total dwellings: 55,972 2017 Total dwellings: 55,461 2036 Total dwellings: 66,555 2035 Total dwellings: 65,986 2034 Total dwellings: 65,404 2033 Total dwellings: 64,806 2032 Total dwellings: 64,197 2031 Total dwellings: 63,585 2030 Total dwellings: 62,969 2029 Total dwellings: 62,372 2028 Total dwellings: 61,770 2027 Total dwellings: 61,179 2026 Total dwellings: 60,604 2025 Total dwellings: 60,056 2024 Total dwellings: 59,489 2023 Total dwellings: 58,918 2022 Total dwellings: 58,327 2021 Total dwellings: 57,718 2020 Total dwellings: 57,127 2019 Total dwellings: 56,551 2018 Total dwellings: 55,972 2017 Total dwellings: 55,461 2036 Forecast development: 569 2035 Forecast development: 582 2034 Forecast development: 598 2033 Forecast development: 609 2032 Forecast development: 612 2031 Forecast development: 616 2030 Forecast development: 597 2029 Forecast development: 602 2028 Forecast development: 591 2027 Forecast development: 575 2026 Forecast development: 548 2025 Forecast development: 567 2024 Forecast development: 571 2023 Forecast development: 591 2022 Forecast development: 609 2021 Forecast development: 591 2020 Forecast development: 576 2019 Forecast development: 579 2018 Forecast development: 511 2017 Forecast development: 416
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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