Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Shoalhaven City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Shoalhaven City is forecast for the period from 2027 to 2031, which is expected to have a net increase of 5,763 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Shoalhaven CityForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births5,1655,2945,4515,6495,926
Deaths5,4135,7446,0196,3106,592
Natural increase/decrease-248-450-568-661-666
Net migration2,5874,6745,7146,3856,177
Change in persons in non-private dwellings4075110400

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2015.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 1,084 2035 forecast population change: 1,092 2034 forecast population change: 1,090 2033 forecast population change: 1,122 2032 forecast population change: 1,124 2031 forecast population change: 1,198 2030 forecast population change: 1,180 2029 forecast population change: 1,152 2028 forecast population change: 1,133 2027 forecast population change: 1,100 2026 forecast population change: 1,005 2025 forecast population change: 1,004 2024 forecast population change: 1,033 2023 forecast population change: 1,086 2022 forecast population change: 1,128 2021 forecast population change: 1,015 2020 forecast population change: 945 2019 forecast population change: 838 2018 forecast population change: 839 2017 forecast population change: 663 2016 forecast population change: 650 2015 forecast population change: 543 2014 forecast population change: 518 2013 forecast population change: 449 2012 forecast population change: 219
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2015.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: -130 2035 Natural increase: -133 2034 Natural increase: -134 2033 Natural increase: -135 2032 Natural increase: -134 2031 Natural increase: -135 2030 Natural increase: -134 2029 Natural increase: -133 2028 Natural increase: -131 2027 Natural increase: -128 2026 Natural increase: -124 2025 Natural increase: -118 2024 Natural increase: -112 2023 Natural increase: -108 2022 Natural increase: -106 2021 Natural increase: -102 2020 Natural increase: -97 2019 Natural increase: -92 2018 Natural increase: -84 2017 Natural increase: -75 2016 Natural increase: -66 2015 Natural increase: -56 2014 Natural increase: -43 2013 Natural increase: -29 2012 Natural increase: -54 2036 Total births: 1,207 2035 Total births: 1,196 2034 Total births: 1,185 2033 Total births: 1,174 2032 Total births: 1,163 2031 Total births: 1,151 2030 Total births: 1,140 2029 Total births: 1,129 2028 Total births: 1,119 2027 Total births: 1,110 2026 Total births: 1,103 2025 Total births: 1,097 2024 Total births: 1,091 2023 Total births: 1,084 2022 Total births: 1,076 2021 Total births: 1,069 2020 Total births: 1,063 2019 Total births: 1,058 2018 Total births: 1,053 2017 Total births: 1,050 2016 Total births: 1,045 2015 Total births: 1,041 2014 Total births: 1,035 2013 Total births: 1,030 2012 Total births: 1,014 2036 Total deaths: 1,337 2035 Total deaths: 1,329 2034 Total deaths: 1,319 2033 Total deaths: 1,309 2032 Total deaths: 1,297 2031 Total deaths: 1,286 2030 Total deaths: 1,273 2029 Total deaths: 1,262 2028 Total deaths: 1,250 2027 Total deaths: 1,239 2026 Total deaths: 1,227 2025 Total deaths: 1,215 2024 Total deaths: 1,203 2023 Total deaths: 1,192 2022 Total deaths: 1,182 2021 Total deaths: 1,171 2020 Total deaths: 1,160 2019 Total deaths: 1,150 2018 Total deaths: 1,137 2017 Total deaths: 1,125 2016 Total deaths: 1,111 2015 Total deaths: 1,096 2014 Total deaths: 1,078 2013 Total deaths: 1,059 2012 Total deaths: 1,068 2036 Natural increase: -130 2035 Natural increase: -133 2034 Natural increase: -134 2033 Natural increase: -135 2032 Natural increase: -134 2031 Natural increase: -135 2030 Natural increase: -134 2029 Natural increase: -133 2028 Natural increase: -131 2027 Natural increase: -128 2026 Natural increase: -124 2025 Natural increase: -118 2024 Natural increase: -112 2023 Natural increase: -108 2022 Natural increase: -106 2021 Natural increase: -102 2020 Natural increase: -97 2019 Natural increase: -92 2018 Natural increase: -84 2017 Natural increase: -75 2016 Natural increase: -66 2015 Natural increase: -56 2014 Natural increase: -43 2013 Natural increase: -29 2012 Natural increase: -54 2036 Total births: 1,207 2035 Total births: 1,196 2034 Total births: 1,185 2033 Total births: 1,174 2032 Total births: 1,163 2031 Total births: 1,151 2030 Total births: 1,140 2029 Total births: 1,129 2028 Total births: 1,119 2027 Total births: 1,110 2026 Total births: 1,103 2025 Total births: 1,097 2024 Total births: 1,091 2023 Total births: 1,084 2022 Total births: 1,076 2021 Total births: 1,069 2020 Total births: 1,063 2019 Total births: 1,058 2018 Total births: 1,053 2017 Total births: 1,050 2016 Total births: 1,045 2015 Total births: 1,041 2014 Total births: 1,035 2013 Total births: 1,030 2012 Total births: 1,014 2036 Total deaths: 1,337 2035 Total deaths: 1,329 2034 Total deaths: 1,319 2033 Total deaths: 1,309 2032 Total deaths: 1,297 2031 Total deaths: 1,286 2030 Total deaths: 1,273 2029 Total deaths: 1,262 2028 Total deaths: 1,250 2027 Total deaths: 1,239 2026 Total deaths: 1,227 2025 Total deaths: 1,215 2024 Total deaths: 1,203 2023 Total deaths: 1,192 2022 Total deaths: 1,182 2021 Total deaths: 1,171 2020 Total deaths: 1,160 2019 Total deaths: 1,150 2018 Total deaths: 1,137 2017 Total deaths: 1,125 2016 Total deaths: 1,111 2015 Total deaths: 1,096 2014 Total deaths: 1,078 2013 Total deaths: 1,059 2012 Total deaths: 1,068
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2015.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 1,214 2035 Total net migration: 1,225 2034 Total net migration: 1,224 2033 Total net migration: 1,256 2032 Total net migration: 1,258 2031 Total net migration: 1,333 2030 Total net migration: 1,314 2029 Total net migration: 1,285 2028 Total net migration: 1,265 2027 Total net migration: 1,188 2026 Total net migration: 1,129 2025 Total net migration: 1,122 2024 Total net migration: 1,132 2023 Total net migration: 1,168 2022 Total net migration: 1,163 2021 Total net migration: 1,114 2020 Total net migration: 1,037 2019 Total net migration: 923 2018 Total net migration: 900 2017 Total net migration: 701 2016 Total net migration: 676 2015 Total net migration: 599 2014 Total net migration: 562 2013 Total net migration: 478 2012 Total net migration: 273 2036 Total out migration: 8,765 2035 Total out migration: 8,683 2034 Total out migration: 8,603 2033 Total out migration: 8,520 2032 Total out migration: 8,432 2031 Total out migration: 8,340 2030 Total out migration: 8,251 2029 Total out migration: 8,165 2028 Total out migration: 8,079 2027 Total out migration: 7,999 2026 Total out migration: 7,928 2025 Total out migration: 7,859 2024 Total out migration: 7,787 2023 Total out migration: 7,715 2022 Total out migration: 7,636 2021 Total out migration: 7,565 2020 Total out migration: 7,501 2019 Total out migration: 7,449 2018 Total out migration: 7,391 2017 Total out migration: 7,358 2016 Total out migration: 7,319 2015 Total out migration: 7,293 2014 Total out migration: 7,275 2013 Total out migration: 7,250 2012 Total out migration: 7,294 2036 Total in migration: 9,978 2035 Total in migration: 9,908 2034 Total in migration: 9,828 2033 Total in migration: 9,776 2032 Total in migration: 9,691 2031 Total in migration: 9,673 2030 Total in migration: 9,564 2029 Total in migration: 9,450 2028 Total in migration: 9,343 2027 Total in migration: 9,188 2026 Total in migration: 9,057 2025 Total in migration: 8,980 2024 Total in migration: 8,919 2023 Total in migration: 8,883 2022 Total in migration: 8,800 2021 Total in migration: 8,679 2020 Total in migration: 8,538 2019 Total in migration: 8,371 2018 Total in migration: 8,290 2017 Total in migration: 8,059 2016 Total in migration: 7,995 2015 Total in migration: 7,892 2014 Total in migration: 7,837 2013 Total in migration: 7,728 2012 Total in migration: 7,567 2036 Total net migration: 1,214 2035 Total net migration: 1,225 2034 Total net migration: 1,224 2033 Total net migration: 1,256 2032 Total net migration: 1,258 2031 Total net migration: 1,333 2030 Total net migration: 1,314 2029 Total net migration: 1,285 2028 Total net migration: 1,265 2027 Total net migration: 1,188 2026 Total net migration: 1,129 2025 Total net migration: 1,122 2024 Total net migration: 1,132 2023 Total net migration: 1,168 2022 Total net migration: 1,163 2021 Total net migration: 1,114 2020 Total net migration: 1,037 2019 Total net migration: 923 2018 Total net migration: 900 2017 Total net migration: 701 2016 Total net migration: 676 2015 Total net migration: 599 2014 Total net migration: 562 2013 Total net migration: 478 2012 Total net migration: 273 2036 Total out migration: 8,765 2035 Total out migration: 8,683 2034 Total out migration: 8,603 2033 Total out migration: 8,520 2032 Total out migration: 8,432 2031 Total out migration: 8,340 2030 Total out migration: 8,251 2029 Total out migration: 8,165 2028 Total out migration: 8,079 2027 Total out migration: 7,999 2026 Total out migration: 7,928 2025 Total out migration: 7,859 2024 Total out migration: 7,787 2023 Total out migration: 7,715 2022 Total out migration: 7,636 2021 Total out migration: 7,565 2020 Total out migration: 7,501 2019 Total out migration: 7,449 2018 Total out migration: 7,391 2017 Total out migration: 7,358 2016 Total out migration: 7,319 2015 Total out migration: 7,293 2014 Total out migration: 7,275 2013 Total out migration: 7,250 2012 Total out migration: 7,294 2036 Total in migration: 9,978 2035 Total in migration: 9,908 2034 Total in migration: 9,828 2033 Total in migration: 9,776 2032 Total in migration: 9,691 2031 Total in migration: 9,673 2030 Total in migration: 9,564 2029 Total in migration: 9,450 2028 Total in migration: 9,343 2027 Total in migration: 9,188 2026 Total in migration: 9,057 2025 Total in migration: 8,980 2024 Total in migration: 8,919 2023 Total in migration: 8,883 2022 Total in migration: 8,800 2021 Total in migration: 8,679 2020 Total in migration: 8,538 2019 Total in migration: 8,371 2018 Total in migration: 8,290 2017 Total in migration: 8,059 2016 Total in migration: 7,995 2015 Total in migration: 7,892 2014 Total in migration: 7,837 2013 Total in migration: 7,728 2012 Total in migration: 7,567
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2015.
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