Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shoalhaven City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Shoalhaven City is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 5,776 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Shoalhaven CityForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--5,6445,6555,7896,075
Deaths--5,8806,2136,6066,960
Natural increase/decrease---235-559-817-885
Net migration--4,6385,7976,5246,661
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--115110400

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 1,113 2035 forecast population change: 1,143 2034 forecast population change: 1,170 2033 forecast population change: 1,178 2032 forecast population change: 1,172 2031 forecast population change: 1,185 2030 forecast population change: 1,147 2029 forecast population change: 1,163 2028 forecast population change: 1,130 2027 forecast population change: 1,121 2026 forecast population change: 991 2025 forecast population change: 1,034 2024 forecast population change: 1,027 2023 forecast population change: 1,107 2022 forecast population change: 1,189 2021 forecast population change: 1,061 2020 forecast population change: 1,039 2019 forecast population change: 995 2018 forecast population change: 851 2017 forecast population change: 571
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: -175 2035 Natural increase: -178 2034 Natural increase: -179 2033 Natural increase: -178 2032 Natural increase: -175 2031 Natural increase: -173 2030 Natural increase: -169 2029 Natural increase: -165 2028 Natural increase: -159 2027 Natural increase: -151 2026 Natural increase: -139 2025 Natural increase: -125 2024 Natural increase: -111 2023 Natural increase: -98 2022 Natural increase: -85 2021 Natural increase: -74 2020 Natural increase: -64 2019 Natural increase: -50 2018 Natural increase: -32 2017 Natural increase: -15 2036 Total deaths: 1,415 2035 Total deaths: 1,406 2034 Total deaths: 1,394 2033 Total deaths: 1,380 2032 Total deaths: 1,365 2031 Total deaths: 1,351 2030 Total deaths: 1,336 2029 Total deaths: 1,322 2028 Total deaths: 1,306 2027 Total deaths: 1,291 2026 Total deaths: 1,275 2025 Total deaths: 1,258 2024 Total deaths: 1,242 2023 Total deaths: 1,227 2022 Total deaths: 1,212 2021 Total deaths: 1,199 2020 Total deaths: 1,189 2019 Total deaths: 1,176 2018 Total deaths: 1,162 2017 Total deaths: 1,153 2036 Total births: 1,240 2035 Total births: 1,228 2034 Total births: 1,215 2033 Total births: 1,202 2032 Total births: 1,190 2031 Total births: 1,178 2030 Total births: 1,167 2029 Total births: 1,156 2028 Total births: 1,147 2027 Total births: 1,140 2026 Total births: 1,136 2025 Total births: 1,133 2024 Total births: 1,131 2023 Total births: 1,129 2022 Total births: 1,127 2021 Total births: 1,125 2020 Total births: 1,125 2019 Total births: 1,127 2018 Total births: 1,130 2017 Total births: 1,138 2036 Natural increase: -175 2035 Natural increase: -178 2034 Natural increase: -179 2033 Natural increase: -178 2032 Natural increase: -175 2031 Natural increase: -173 2030 Natural increase: -169 2029 Natural increase: -165 2028 Natural increase: -159 2027 Natural increase: -151 2026 Natural increase: -139 2025 Natural increase: -125 2024 Natural increase: -111 2023 Natural increase: -98 2022 Natural increase: -85 2021 Natural increase: -74 2020 Natural increase: -64 2019 Natural increase: -50 2018 Natural increase: -32 2017 Natural increase: -15 2036 Total deaths: 1,415 2035 Total deaths: 1,406 2034 Total deaths: 1,394 2033 Total deaths: 1,380 2032 Total deaths: 1,365 2031 Total deaths: 1,351 2030 Total deaths: 1,336 2029 Total deaths: 1,322 2028 Total deaths: 1,306 2027 Total deaths: 1,291 2026 Total deaths: 1,275 2025 Total deaths: 1,258 2024 Total deaths: 1,242 2023 Total deaths: 1,227 2022 Total deaths: 1,212 2021 Total deaths: 1,199 2020 Total deaths: 1,189 2019 Total deaths: 1,176 2018 Total deaths: 1,162 2017 Total deaths: 1,153 2036 Total births: 1,240 2035 Total births: 1,228 2034 Total births: 1,215 2033 Total births: 1,202 2032 Total births: 1,190 2031 Total births: 1,178 2030 Total births: 1,167 2029 Total births: 1,156 2028 Total births: 1,147 2027 Total births: 1,140 2026 Total births: 1,136 2025 Total births: 1,133 2024 Total births: 1,131 2023 Total births: 1,129 2022 Total births: 1,127 2021 Total births: 1,125 2020 Total births: 1,125 2019 Total births: 1,127 2018 Total births: 1,130 2017 Total births: 1,138
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 1,288 2035 Total net migration: 1,321 2034 Total net migration: 1,349 2033 Total net migration: 1,356 2032 Total net migration: 1,347 2031 Total net migration: 1,358 2030 Total net migration: 1,316 2029 Total net migration: 1,328 2028 Total net migration: 1,289 2027 Total net migration: 1,232 2026 Total net migration: 1,130 2025 Total net migration: 1,159 2024 Total net migration: 1,125 2023 Total net migration: 1,179 2022 Total net migration: 1,204 2021 Total net migration: 1,118 2020 Total net migration: 1,072 2019 Total net migration: 998 2018 Total net migration: 874 2017 Total net migration: 575 2036 Total out migration: 9,012 2035 Total out migration: 8,924 2034 Total out migration: 8,834 2033 Total out migration: 8,743 2032 Total out migration: 8,649 2031 Total out migration: 8,556 2030 Total out migration: 8,469 2029 Total out migration: 8,383 2028 Total out migration: 8,298 2027 Total out migration: 8,219 2026 Total out migration: 8,156 2025 Total out migration: 8,089 2024 Total out migration: 8,025 2023 Total out migration: 7,959 2022 Total out migration: 7,874 2021 Total out migration: 7,804 2020 Total out migration: 7,743 2019 Total out migration: 7,691 2018 Total out migration: 7,638 2017 Total out migration: 7,645 2036 Total in migration: 10,300 2035 Total in migration: 10,245 2034 Total in migration: 10,183 2033 Total in migration: 10,098 2032 Total in migration: 9,997 2031 Total in migration: 9,914 2030 Total in migration: 9,785 2029 Total in migration: 9,711 2028 Total in migration: 9,587 2027 Total in migration: 9,452 2026 Total in migration: 9,286 2025 Total in migration: 9,248 2024 Total in migration: 9,150 2023 Total in migration: 9,138 2022 Total in migration: 9,078 2021 Total in migration: 8,922 2020 Total in migration: 8,815 2019 Total in migration: 8,689 2018 Total in migration: 8,512 2017 Total in migration: 8,220 2036 Total net migration: 1,288 2035 Total net migration: 1,321 2034 Total net migration: 1,349 2033 Total net migration: 1,356 2032 Total net migration: 1,347 2031 Total net migration: 1,358 2030 Total net migration: 1,316 2029 Total net migration: 1,328 2028 Total net migration: 1,289 2027 Total net migration: 1,232 2026 Total net migration: 1,130 2025 Total net migration: 1,159 2024 Total net migration: 1,125 2023 Total net migration: 1,179 2022 Total net migration: 1,204 2021 Total net migration: 1,118 2020 Total net migration: 1,072 2019 Total net migration: 998 2018 Total net migration: 874 2017 Total net migration: 575 2036 Total out migration: 9,012 2035 Total out migration: 8,924 2034 Total out migration: 8,834 2033 Total out migration: 8,743 2032 Total out migration: 8,649 2031 Total out migration: 8,556 2030 Total out migration: 8,469 2029 Total out migration: 8,383 2028 Total out migration: 8,298 2027 Total out migration: 8,219 2026 Total out migration: 8,156 2025 Total out migration: 8,089 2024 Total out migration: 8,025 2023 Total out migration: 7,959 2022 Total out migration: 7,874 2021 Total out migration: 7,804 2020 Total out migration: 7,743 2019 Total out migration: 7,691 2018 Total out migration: 7,638 2017 Total out migration: 7,645 2036 Total in migration: 10,300 2035 Total in migration: 10,245 2034 Total in migration: 10,183 2033 Total in migration: 10,098 2032 Total in migration: 9,997 2031 Total in migration: 9,914 2030 Total in migration: 9,785 2029 Total in migration: 9,711 2028 Total in migration: 9,587 2027 Total in migration: 9,452 2026 Total in migration: 9,286 2025 Total in migration: 9,248 2024 Total in migration: 9,150 2023 Total in migration: 9,138 2022 Total in migration: 9,078 2021 Total in migration: 8,922 2020 Total in migration: 8,815 2019 Total in migration: 8,689 2018 Total in migration: 8,512 2017 Total in migration: 8,220
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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