Ballina Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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Ballina Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Ballina Shire is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 2,310 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Ballina ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births2,1342,2502,2842,3162,396
Deaths2,2682,3992,4932,6442,844
Natural increase/decrease-134-149-209-328-448
Net migration1,7632,2592,3182,4502,699
Change in persons in non-private dwellings1230906060

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2016.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 450 2035 forecast population change: 462 2034 forecast population change: 470 2033 forecast population change: 448 2032 forecast population change: 482 2031 forecast population change: 434 2030 forecast population change: 466 2029 forecast population change: 432 2028 forecast population change: 447 2027 forecast population change: 404 2026 forecast population change: 459 2025 forecast population change: 410 2024 forecast population change: 446 2023 forecast population change: 417 2022 forecast population change: 467 2021 forecast population change: 438 2020 forecast population change: 407 2019 forecast population change: 386 2018 forecast population change: 408 2017 forecast population change: 471 2016 forecast population change: 501 2015 forecast population change: 473 2014 forecast population change: 240 2013 forecast population change: 182 2012 forecast population change: 355
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2016.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: -97 2035 Natural increase: -95 2034 Natural increase: -90 2033 Natural increase: -86 2032 Natural increase: -81 2031 Natural increase: -76 2030 Natural increase: -71 2029 Natural increase: -66 2028 Natural increase: -60 2027 Natural increase: -55 2026 Natural increase: -49 2025 Natural increase: -45 2024 Natural increase: -41 2023 Natural increase: -38 2022 Natural increase: -35 2021 Natural increase: -34 2020 Natural increase: -32 2019 Natural increase: -29 2018 Natural increase: -28 2017 Natural increase: -26 2016 Natural increase: -28 2015 Natural increase: -30 2014 Natural increase: -29 2013 Natural increase: -26 2012 Natural increase: -22 2036 Total births: 488 2035 Total births: 483 2034 Total births: 479 2033 Total births: 475 2032 Total births: 471 2031 Total births: 468 2030 Total births: 465 2029 Total births: 463 2028 Total births: 461 2027 Total births: 460 2026 Total births: 458 2025 Total births: 457 2024 Total births: 457 2023 Total births: 456 2022 Total births: 456 2021 Total births: 454 2020 Total births: 452 2019 Total births: 451 2018 Total births: 448 2017 Total births: 444 2016 Total births: 438 2015 Total births: 432 2014 Total births: 430 2013 Total births: 428 2012 Total births: 406 2036 Total deaths: 585 2035 Total deaths: 578 2034 Total deaths: 569 2033 Total deaths: 561 2032 Total deaths: 552 2031 Total deaths: 544 2030 Total deaths: 536 2029 Total deaths: 528 2028 Total deaths: 521 2027 Total deaths: 515 2026 Total deaths: 508 2025 Total deaths: 502 2024 Total deaths: 497 2023 Total deaths: 495 2022 Total deaths: 491 2021 Total deaths: 488 2020 Total deaths: 484 2019 Total deaths: 480 2018 Total deaths: 476 2017 Total deaths: 470 2016 Total deaths: 465 2015 Total deaths: 462 2014 Total deaths: 458 2013 Total deaths: 454 2012 Total deaths: 428 2036 Natural increase: -97 2035 Natural increase: -95 2034 Natural increase: -90 2033 Natural increase: -86 2032 Natural increase: -81 2031 Natural increase: -76 2030 Natural increase: -71 2029 Natural increase: -66 2028 Natural increase: -60 2027 Natural increase: -55 2026 Natural increase: -49 2025 Natural increase: -45 2024 Natural increase: -41 2023 Natural increase: -38 2022 Natural increase: -35 2021 Natural increase: -34 2020 Natural increase: -32 2019 Natural increase: -29 2018 Natural increase: -28 2017 Natural increase: -26 2016 Natural increase: -28 2015 Natural increase: -30 2014 Natural increase: -29 2013 Natural increase: -26 2012 Natural increase: -22 2036 Total births: 488 2035 Total births: 483 2034 Total births: 479 2033 Total births: 475 2032 Total births: 471 2031 Total births: 468 2030 Total births: 465 2029 Total births: 463 2028 Total births: 461 2027 Total births: 460 2026 Total births: 458 2025 Total births: 457 2024 Total births: 457 2023 Total births: 456 2022 Total births: 456 2021 Total births: 454 2020 Total births: 452 2019 Total births: 451 2018 Total births: 448 2017 Total births: 444 2016 Total births: 438 2015 Total births: 432 2014 Total births: 430 2013 Total births: 428 2012 Total births: 406 2036 Total deaths: 585 2035 Total deaths: 578 2034 Total deaths: 569 2033 Total deaths: 561 2032 Total deaths: 552 2031 Total deaths: 544 2030 Total deaths: 536 2029 Total deaths: 528 2028 Total deaths: 521 2027 Total deaths: 515 2026 Total deaths: 508 2025 Total deaths: 502 2024 Total deaths: 497 2023 Total deaths: 495 2022 Total deaths: 491 2021 Total deaths: 488 2020 Total deaths: 484 2019 Total deaths: 480 2018 Total deaths: 476 2017 Total deaths: 470 2016 Total deaths: 465 2015 Total deaths: 462 2014 Total deaths: 458 2013 Total deaths: 454 2012 Total deaths: 428
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2016.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 547 2035 Total net migration: 556 2034 Total net migration: 529 2033 Total net migration: 533 2032 Total net migration: 533 2031 Total net migration: 509 2030 Total net migration: 507 2029 Total net migration: 498 2028 Total net migration: 477 2027 Total net migration: 459 2026 Total net migration: 478 2025 Total net migration: 455 2024 Total net migration: 457 2023 Total net migration: 456 2022 Total net migration: 472 2021 Total net migration: 472 2020 Total net migration: 439 2019 Total net migration: 416 2018 Total net migration: 436 2017 Total net migration: 497 2016 Total net migration: 529 2015 Total net migration: 504 2014 Total net migration: 268 2013 Total net migration: 207 2012 Total net migration: 254 2036 Total out migration: 3,764 2035 Total out migration: 3,726 2034 Total out migration: 3,692 2033 Total out migration: 3,660 2032 Total out migration: 3,621 2031 Total out migration: 3,587 2030 Total out migration: 3,556 2029 Total out migration: 3,524 2028 Total out migration: 3,495 2027 Total out migration: 3,467 2026 Total out migration: 3,440 2025 Total out migration: 3,416 2024 Total out migration: 3,392 2023 Total out migration: 3,369 2022 Total out migration: 3,340 2021 Total out migration: 3,316 2020 Total out migration: 3,289 2019 Total out migration: 3,267 2018 Total out migration: 3,245 2017 Total out migration: 3,212 2016 Total out migration: 3,177 2015 Total out migration: 3,146 2014 Total out migration: 3,143 2013 Total out migration: 3,137 2012 Total out migration: 3,127 2036 Total in migration: 4,311 2035 Total in migration: 4,282 2034 Total in migration: 4,221 2033 Total in migration: 4,193 2032 Total in migration: 4,154 2031 Total in migration: 4,096 2030 Total in migration: 4,063 2029 Total in migration: 4,022 2028 Total in migration: 3,972 2027 Total in migration: 3,926 2026 Total in migration: 3,918 2025 Total in migration: 3,871 2024 Total in migration: 3,849 2023 Total in migration: 3,825 2022 Total in migration: 3,813 2021 Total in migration: 3,788 2020 Total in migration: 3,728 2019 Total in migration: 3,682 2018 Total in migration: 3,680 2017 Total in migration: 3,709 2016 Total in migration: 3,706 2015 Total in migration: 3,650 2014 Total in migration: 3,411 2013 Total in migration: 3,345 2012 Total in migration: 3,382 2036 Total net migration: 547 2035 Total net migration: 556 2034 Total net migration: 529 2033 Total net migration: 533 2032 Total net migration: 533 2031 Total net migration: 509 2030 Total net migration: 507 2029 Total net migration: 498 2028 Total net migration: 477 2027 Total net migration: 459 2026 Total net migration: 478 2025 Total net migration: 455 2024 Total net migration: 457 2023 Total net migration: 456 2022 Total net migration: 472 2021 Total net migration: 472 2020 Total net migration: 439 2019 Total net migration: 416 2018 Total net migration: 436 2017 Total net migration: 497 2016 Total net migration: 529 2015 Total net migration: 504 2014 Total net migration: 268 2013 Total net migration: 207 2012 Total net migration: 254 2036 Total out migration: 3,764 2035 Total out migration: 3,726 2034 Total out migration: 3,692 2033 Total out migration: 3,660 2032 Total out migration: 3,621 2031 Total out migration: 3,587 2030 Total out migration: 3,556 2029 Total out migration: 3,524 2028 Total out migration: 3,495 2027 Total out migration: 3,467 2026 Total out migration: 3,440 2025 Total out migration: 3,416 2024 Total out migration: 3,392 2023 Total out migration: 3,369 2022 Total out migration: 3,340 2021 Total out migration: 3,316 2020 Total out migration: 3,289 2019 Total out migration: 3,267 2018 Total out migration: 3,245 2017 Total out migration: 3,212 2016 Total out migration: 3,177 2015 Total out migration: 3,146 2014 Total out migration: 3,143 2013 Total out migration: 3,137 2012 Total out migration: 3,127 2036 Total in migration: 4,311 2035 Total in migration: 4,282 2034 Total in migration: 4,221 2033 Total in migration: 4,193 2032 Total in migration: 4,154 2031 Total in migration: 4,096 2030 Total in migration: 4,063 2029 Total in migration: 4,022 2028 Total in migration: 3,972 2027 Total in migration: 3,926 2026 Total in migration: 3,918 2025 Total in migration: 3,871 2024 Total in migration: 3,849 2023 Total in migration: 3,825 2022 Total in migration: 3,813 2021 Total in migration: 3,788 2020 Total in migration: 3,728 2019 Total in migration: 3,682 2018 Total in migration: 3,680 2017 Total in migration: 3,709 2016 Total in migration: 3,706 2015 Total in migration: 3,650 2014 Total in migration: 3,411 2013 Total in migration: 3,345 2012 Total in migration: 3,382
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2016.
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