Ballina Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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Ballina Shire

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Ballina Shire is forecast to grow from 18,182 in 2011 to 21,237 in 2021, with the average household size falling from 2.37 to 2.33 by 2021.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Ballina Shire. The period 2011 to 2021, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Ballina ShireForecast year
Summary201120162021202620312036
Population40,75442,50644,61546,81448,99751,307
Change in population (5yrs)--1,7512,1092,1992,1822,311
Average annual change--0.85%0.97%0.97%0.92%0.93%
Households16,92117,78218,78119,73020,70221,671
Average household size2.372.352.332.332.322.32
Population in non private dwellings644767767857917977
Dwellings18,18218,99120,11321,23722,34823,452
Dwelling occupancy rate93.0693.6393.3892.9092.6392.41

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2016.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2036 Average household size: 2.32 2035 Average household size: 2.32 2034 Average household size: 2.32 2033 Average household size: 2.32 2032 Average household size: 2.32 2031 Average household size: 2.32 2030 Average household size: 2.32 2029 Average household size: 2.32 2028 Average household size: 2.32 2027 Average household size: 2.33 2026 Average household size: 2.33 2025 Average household size: 2.33 2024 Average household size: 2.33 2023 Average household size: 2.33 2022 Average household size: 2.33 2021 Average household size: 2.34 2020 Average household size: 2.34 2019 Average household size: 2.34 2018 Average household size: 2.34 2017 Average household size: 2.34 2016 Average household size: 2.35 2015 Average household size: 2.35 2014 Average household size: 2.35 2013 Average household size: 2.36 2012 Average household size: 2.36 2011 Average household size: 2.37 2036 Average household size: 2.32 2035 Average household size: 2.32 2034 Average household size: 2.32 2033 Average household size: 2.32 2032 Average household size: 2.32 2031 Average household size: 2.32 2030 Average household size: 2.32 2029 Average household size: 2.32 2028 Average household size: 2.32 2027 Average household size: 2.33 2026 Average household size: 2.33 2025 Average household size: 2.33 2024 Average household size: 2.33 2023 Average household size: 2.33 2022 Average household size: 2.33 2021 Average household size: 2.34 2020 Average household size: 2.34 2019 Average household size: 2.34 2018 Average household size: 2.34 2017 Average household size: 2.34 2016 Average household size: 2.35 2015 Average household size: 2.35 2014 Average household size: 2.35 2013 Average household size: 2.36 2012 Average household size: 2.36 2036 Households: 21,668 2035 Households: 21,475 2034 Households: 21,281 2033 Households: 21,086 2032 Households: 20,894 2031 Households: 20,700 2030 Households: 20,506 2029 Households: 20,311 2028 Households: 20,120 2027 Households: 19,928 2026 Households: 19,735 2025 Households: 19,541 2024 Households: 19,353 2023 Households: 19,163 2022 Households: 18,973 2021 Households: 18,778 2020 Households: 18,583 2019 Households: 18,390 2018 Households: 18,195 2017 Households: 18,002 2016 Households: 17,780 2015 Households: 17,556 2014 Households: 17,335 2013 Households: 17,197 2012 Households: 17,072 2011 Households: 16,924 2036 Total population: 51,307 2035 Total population: 50,858 2034 Total population: 50,396 2033 Total population: 49,926 2032 Total population: 49,479 2031 Total population: 48,997 2030 Total population: 48,563 2029 Total population: 48,097 2028 Total population: 47,665 2027 Total population: 47,218 2026 Total population: 46,814 2025 Total population: 46,355 2024 Total population: 45,946 2023 Total population: 45,499 2022 Total population: 45,082 2021 Total population: 44,615 2020 Total population: 44,177 2019 Total population: 43,770 2018 Total population: 43,384 2017 Total population: 42,976 2016 Total population: 42,506 2015 Total population: 42,004 2014 Total population: 41,531 2013 Total population: 41,291 2012 Total population: 41,110 2011 Total population: 40,754
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2016.

Key findings

In 2011, the total population of Ballina Shire was estimated to be 40,754 people. It is expected to increase by over 6,000 people to 46,814 by 2021, at an average annual growth rate of 1.40%. This is based on an increase of over 2,800 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.37 to 2.33 by 2021.

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