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Ballina Shire CouncilPopulation forecast

Ballina Shire Council

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2030, the age structure forecasts for Ballina Shire Council indicate a 25.6% increase in population under working age, a 12.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 9.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Ballina Shire Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Ballina Shire Council - Total persons202120302036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,2364.83,1616.13,3786.1+1,142
5 to 92,5605.53,3396.43,5936.5+1,034
10 to 142,8446.23,0976.03,6106.5+766
15 to 192,4275.32,7325.32,9815.4+554
20 to 241,9244.22,2434.32,3614.2+437
25 to 291,9974.32,3134.42,4884.5+491
30 to 342,3515.12,6445.12,8355.1+483
35 to 392,6125.73,0185.83,2405.8+628
40 to 442,6455.73,1756.13,4306.2+786
45 to 492,9066.33,2056.23,5186.3+611
50 to 542,9716.43,0535.93,3536.0+382
55 to 593,1406.83,1916.13,2575.9+118
60 to 643,3527.33,1586.13,3426.0-9
65 to 693,4077.43,4266.63,3876.1-20
70 to 743,1586.83,2736.33,2815.9+122
75 to 792,2424.92,9695.73,0185.4+776
80 to 841,6153.52,2364.32,4434.4+827
85 and over1,7813.91,7923.42,1313.8+350
Total persons46,166100.052,026100.055,645100.0+9,478
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Ballina Shire Council was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2030 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 926 and account for 6.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2030 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 3,426 persons.

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