Ballina Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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Ballina Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2021, the age structure forecasts for Ballina Shire indicate a 8.4% increase in population under working age, a 32.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Ballina Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Ballina Shire - Total persons201120212036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 2,2025.42,4335.52,6685.2+466
5 to 9 2,3845.82,7146.13,0726.0+688
10 to 14 2,6936.62,7426.13,1966.2+503
15 to 19 2,5116.22,2995.22,7145.3+202
20 to 24 1,7934.41,7613.91,9273.8+134
25 to 29 1,7114.21,7684.01,8423.6+132
30 to 34 1,8574.62,1404.82,3074.5+450
35 to 39 2,3455.82,6015.82,8975.6+552
40 to 44 2,7126.72,7436.13,1996.2+487
45 to 49 2,8397.02,8456.43,2946.4+455
50 to 54 3,0987.62,9006.53,2536.3+155
55 to 59 3,0477.52,9826.73,2226.3+175
60 to 64 2,9017.13,2257.23,2896.4+387
65 to 69 2,3635.83,1957.23,3436.5+980
70 to 74 1,8724.62,8956.53,2426.3+1,370
75 to 79 1,5403.82,1594.82,9935.8+1,452
80 to 84 1,4643.61,5393.42,4184.7+954
85 and over1,4233.51,6743.82,4324.7+1,009
Total persons40,754100.044,615100.051,307100.0+10,553

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 2,432 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 2,418 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 2,993 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 3,242 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 3,343 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 3,289 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 3,222 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 3,253 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 3,294 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 3,199 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 2,897 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 2,307 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,842 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,927 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 2,714 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 3,196 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 3,072 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 2,668 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2021: 1,674 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2021: 1,539 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2021: 2,159 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2021: 2,895 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2021: 3,195 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2021: 3,225 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2021: 2,982 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2021: 2,900 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2021: 2,845 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2021: 2,743 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2021: 2,601 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2021: 2,140 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2021: 1,768 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2021: 1,761 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2021: 2,299 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2021: 2,742 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2021: 2,714 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2021: 2,433 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 1,423 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 1,464 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 1,540 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 1,872 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 2,363 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 2,901 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 3,047 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 3,098 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 2,839 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 2,712 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 2,345 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 1,857 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 1,711 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 1,793 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 2,511 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 2,693 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 2,384 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 2,202
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2036: 758 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2036: 879 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2036: 834 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2036: 347 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2036: 148 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2036: 64 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2036: 240 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2036: 353 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2036: 449 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2036: 456 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2036: 296 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2036: 167 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2036: 74 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2036: 166 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2036: 414 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2036: 454 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2036: 358 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2036: 235 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2021: 251 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2021: 75 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2021: 619 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2021: 1,023 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2021: 832 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2021: 324 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2021: -65 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2021: -198 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2021: 6 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2021: 31 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2021: 255 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2021: 283 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2021: 58 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2021: -32 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2021: -212 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2021: 49 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2021: 330 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2021: 232
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2016.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Ballina Shire was ages 50 to 54 , which accounted for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2021 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74 , which is expected to increase by 1,023 and account for 6.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2021 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 3,225 persons.

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