Ballina Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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Ballina Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Ballina Shire will increase by an average of 211 dwellings per annum to 23,452 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Ballina Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2011 to 2036
Ballina ShireChange in dwellings between 2011 and 2036
Areanumber%
Ballina Shire+5,270+29.0
Alstonville+147+5.8
Ballina (Island)+326+8.8
Ballina (North)+545+103.0
Cumbalum - Tintenbar+867+130.5
East Ballina+129+4.8
Lennox Head+1,314+48.3
Skennars Head+606+120.2
Teven - Newrybar - Rural North+102+10.7
Wardell - Rural South+102+6.8
West Ballina+191+13.8
Wollongbar - McLeans Ridges+941+96.5

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2016.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 23,452 2035 Total dwellings: 23,231 2034 Total dwellings: 23,009 2033 Total dwellings: 22,787 2032 Total dwellings: 22,568 2031 Total dwellings: 22,348 2030 Total dwellings: 22,128 2029 Total dwellings: 21,908 2028 Total dwellings: 21,685 2027 Total dwellings: 21,461 2026 Total dwellings: 21,237 2025 Total dwellings: 21,013 2024 Total dwellings: 20,789 2023 Total dwellings: 20,565 2022 Total dwellings: 20,341 2021 Total dwellings: 20,113 2020 Total dwellings: 19,887 2019 Total dwellings: 19,662 2018 Total dwellings: 19,438 2017 Total dwellings: 19,216 2016 Total dwellings: 18,991 2015 Total dwellings: 18,774 2014 Total dwellings: 18,557 2013 Total dwellings: 18,422 2012 Total dwellings: 18,315 2036 Total dwellings: 23,452 2035 Total dwellings: 23,231 2034 Total dwellings: 23,009 2033 Total dwellings: 22,787 2032 Total dwellings: 22,568 2031 Total dwellings: 22,348 2030 Total dwellings: 22,128 2029 Total dwellings: 21,908 2028 Total dwellings: 21,685 2027 Total dwellings: 21,461 2026 Total dwellings: 21,237 2025 Total dwellings: 21,013 2024 Total dwellings: 20,789 2023 Total dwellings: 20,565 2022 Total dwellings: 20,341 2021 Total dwellings: 20,113 2020 Total dwellings: 19,887 2019 Total dwellings: 19,662 2018 Total dwellings: 19,438 2017 Total dwellings: 19,216 2016 Total dwellings: 18,991 2015 Total dwellings: 18,774 2014 Total dwellings: 18,557 2013 Total dwellings: 18,422 2012 Total dwellings: 18,315 2036 Forecast development: 221 2035 Forecast development: 222 2034 Forecast development: 222 2033 Forecast development: 219 2032 Forecast development: 220 2031 Forecast development: 220 2030 Forecast development: 220 2029 Forecast development: 223 2028 Forecast development: 224 2027 Forecast development: 224 2026 Forecast development: 224 2025 Forecast development: 224 2024 Forecast development: 224 2023 Forecast development: 224 2022 Forecast development: 228 2021 Forecast development: 226 2020 Forecast development: 225 2019 Forecast development: 224 2018 Forecast development: 222 2017 Forecast development: 225 2016 Forecast development: 217 2015 Forecast development: 217 2014 Forecast development: 135 2013 Forecast development: 107 2012 Forecast development: 133
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2016.
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