Sutherland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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Jannali

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Jannali indicate a 5.1% increase in population under working age, a 10.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Sutherland Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Jannali - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44917.84766.84976.7+7
5 to 95208.24826.95086.8-12
10 to 143375.34596.64606.2+123
15 to 193505.54426.44305.8+81
20 to 243645.73835.54365.9+73
25 to 293745.94256.14566.1+82
30 to 344467.14756.84886.6+42
35 to 394356.95137.45357.2+100
40 to 445829.25127.45287.1-54
45 to 494697.44786.95146.9+45
50 to 544046.45237.54896.6+84
55 to 593445.44226.14315.8+87
60 to 642864.53444.94195.6+133
65 to 692183.42814.03364.5+118
70 to 741462.32243.22703.6+124
75 to 791502.41772.52273.1+77
80 to 841652.61422.01912.6+26
85 and over2423.81952.82002.7-42
Total persons6,323100.06,953100.07,417100.0+1,094

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 200 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 191 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 227 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 270 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 336 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 419 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 431 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 489 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 514 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 528 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 535 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 488 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 456 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 436 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 430 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 460 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 508 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 497 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 195 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 142 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 177 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 224 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 281 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 344 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 422 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 523 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 478 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 512 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 513 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 475 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 425 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 383 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 442 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 459 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 482 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 476 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 242 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 165 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 150 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 146 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 218 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 286 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 344 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 404 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 469 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 582 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 435 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 446 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 374 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 364 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 350 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 337 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 520 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 491
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 49 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 51 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 47 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 54 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 75 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -34 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 36 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 16 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 22 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 30 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 54 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -11 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 26 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -48 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: -23 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 26 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 78 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 64 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 58 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 79 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 118 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 9 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -70 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 77 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 29 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 52 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 92 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 123 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -38 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -15
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Jannali was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 9.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 123 and account for 6.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 50 to 54 years, with a total of 523 persons.

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