Sutherland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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Bundeena - Maianbar

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Bundeena - Maianbar indicate a 10.1% decrease in population under working age, a 39.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 14.7% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Sutherland Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Bundeena - Maianbar - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41516.01345.51385.6-13
5 to 91505.91455.91536.2+3
10 to 141646.51395.71405.7-24
15 to 191244.91154.71174.7-7
20 to 241044.1893.6803.2-24
25 to 29692.7582.4592.4-10
30 to 341054.2763.1803.2-25
35 to 391044.11134.61214.9+17
40 to 441586.21455.91476.0-11
45 to 492279.01486.11616.5-66
50 to 5426710.61737.11747.0-93
55 to 591987.82048.31656.7-33
60 to 642198.72239.11716.9-48
65 to 692168.51827.51927.8-24
70 to 741285.11927.92018.1+73
75 to 79783.11686.91546.2+76
80 to 84321.3893.61275.1+95
85 and over351.4522.1943.8+59
Total persons2,529100.02,445100.02,475100.0-54

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 94 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 127 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 154 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 201 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 192 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 171 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 165 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 174 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 161 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 147 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 121 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 80 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 59 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 80 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 117 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 140 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 153 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 138 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 52 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 89 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 168 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 192 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 182 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 223 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 204 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 173 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 148 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 145 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 113 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 76 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 58 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 89 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 115 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 139 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 145 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 134 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 35 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 32 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 78 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 128 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 216 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 219 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 198 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 267 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 227 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 158 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 104 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 105 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 69 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 104 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 124 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 164 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 150 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 151
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 42 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 39 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: -14 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 9 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -52 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -39 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -9 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 57 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 90 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 64 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -34 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 4 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 6 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -94 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -79 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -13 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 9 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -29 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -11 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -15 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -9 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -25 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -5 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -17
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Bundeena - Maianbar was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 10.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 90 and account for 6.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 223 persons.

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