Sutherland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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Sutherland

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Sutherland indicate a 18.9% increase in population under working age, a 29.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 20.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Sutherland Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Sutherland - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 48277.47355.48415.3+15
5 to 95364.86744.97404.6+204
10 to 144403.97355.47684.8+328
15 to 194764.27655.68985.6+423
20 to 246595.91,0807.91,3428.4+683
25 to 291,25611.21,38510.21,66110.4+406
30 to 341,19310.61,1778.61,4038.8+210
35 to 399768.71,0207.51,1477.2+170
40 to 448347.49096.79816.2+147
45 to 496786.08396.29125.7+235
50 to 546195.58156.09065.7+287
55 to 596065.47065.28395.3+233
60 to 644524.06184.57704.8+318
65 to 694263.85514.06414.0+214
70 to 743693.34023.05413.4+172
75 to 792722.43592.64793.0+207
80 to 841861.73482.64142.6+227
85 and over4253.85053.76614.1+237
Total persons11,231100.013,621100.015,945100.0+4,714

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 661 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 414 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 479 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 541 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 641 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 770 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 839 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 906 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 912 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 981 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 1,147 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 1,403 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,661 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,342 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 898 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 768 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 740 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 841 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 505 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 348 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 359 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 402 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 551 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 618 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 706 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 815 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 839 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 909 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,020 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,177 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,385 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,080 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 765 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 735 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 674 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 735 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 425 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 186 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 272 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 369 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 426 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 452 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 606 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 619 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 678 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 834 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 976 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,193 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,256 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 659 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 476 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 440 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 536 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 827
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 157 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 66 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 120 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 139 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 90 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 152 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 133 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 91 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 74 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 72 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 127 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 226 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 276 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 262 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 134 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 34 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 66 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 107 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 80 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 162 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 87 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 33 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 125 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 166 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 100 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 196 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 161 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 75 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 43 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -16 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 130 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 421 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 289 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 294 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 138 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -92
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Sutherland was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 11.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 421 and account for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,385 persons.

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