Sutherland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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Loftus

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Loftus indicate a 12.5% decrease in population under working age, a 3.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Sutherland Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Loftus - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42816.62596.12806.5-1
5 to 93578.43037.23217.5-36
10 to 143438.12967.03037.1-40
15 to 192816.63057.22886.7+7
20 to 242175.12606.22455.7+28
25 to 291904.52044.82185.1+28
30 to 342315.42145.12335.4+2
35 to 392616.22626.22736.4+12
40 to 443578.43087.33087.2-49
45 to 493418.02866.82866.7-55
50 to 542425.72796.62455.7+3
55 to 592135.02536.02195.1+6
60 to 641704.02034.82185.1+48
65 to 692225.21944.62145.0-8
70 to 742054.81754.22044.8-1
75 to 791433.41854.41834.3+40
80 to 841142.71353.21313.1+17
85 and over751.8942.21222.8+47
Total persons4,243100.04,213100.04,291100.0+48

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 122 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 131 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 183 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 204 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 214 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 218 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 219 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 245 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 286 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 308 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 273 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 233 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 218 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 245 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 288 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 303 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 321 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 280 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 94 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 135 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 185 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 175 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 194 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 203 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 253 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 279 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 286 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 308 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 262 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 214 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 204 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 260 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 305 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 296 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 303 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 259 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 75 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 114 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 143 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 205 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 222 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 170 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 213 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 242 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 341 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 357 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 261 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 231 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 190 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 217 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 281 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 343 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 357 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 281
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 29 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: -3 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: -2 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 29 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 20 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 16 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -34 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -34 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 0 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 0 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 19 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 14 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -15 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -17 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 18 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 42 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: -30 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -28 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 33 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 40 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 37 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -55 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -49 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 1 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -17 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 14 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 43 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 24 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -47 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -54 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -22
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Loftus was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 8.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 43 and account for 6.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 308 persons.

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