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Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast

Bangalee - Cambewarra Village - Tapitallee & Surrounds

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Bangalee - Cambewarra Village - Tapitallee & Surrounds indicate a 6.1% increase in males under working age, a 24.6% increase in males of retirement age, and a 28.2% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Shoalhaven City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Bangalee - Cambewarra Village - Tapitallee & Surrounds - Total males202120312051Change between 2021 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)895.6924.72034.4+114
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)1187.41326.72896.3+172
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)1348.41286.52565.6+122
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)1318.21115.62475.4+117
Young workforce (25 to 34)1207.61859.43738.2+253
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)29518.545823.31,19626.1+901
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)22414.029014.778617.2+562
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)25315.927614.065314.3+400
Seniors (70 to 84)20312.727614.052011.4+317
Elderly aged (85 and over)281.8221.1501.1+22
Total persons1,594100.01,971100.04,575100.0+2,981
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Bangalee - Cambewarra Village - Tapitallee & Surrounds was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 18.5% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which is expected to increase by 164 and account for 23.3% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 458 males.

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