Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Barrack Heights

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Barrack Heights indicate a 1.4% decrease in population under working age, a 26.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.6% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Shellharbour City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Barrack Heights - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44237.04016.54076.5-16
5 to 94267.14106.74136.6-13
10 to 143676.13886.33866.1+19
15 to 193415.63645.93625.7+21
20 to 244337.23786.24016.4-32
25 to 294086.83826.24006.3-8
30 to 343946.53766.13846.1-10
35 to 393515.83565.83605.7+9
40 to 443876.43766.13776.0-10
45 to 493796.33696.03756.0-4
50 to 543565.93605.93575.7+1
55 to 593886.43435.63455.5-44
60 to 643696.13285.43295.2-40
65 to 693505.83635.93445.5-6
70 to 742804.63335.43235.1+44
75 to 792013.32714.42834.5+82
80 to 841111.81923.12443.9+133
85 and over791.31352.22103.3+132
Total persons6,042100.06,127100.06,299100.0+257

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 210 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 244 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 283 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 323 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 344 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 329 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 345 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 357 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 375 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 377 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 360 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 384 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 400 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 401 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 362 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 386 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 413 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 407 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 135 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 192 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 271 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 333 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 363 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 328 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 343 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 360 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 369 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 376 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 356 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 376 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 382 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 378 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 364 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 388 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 410 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 401 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 79 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 111 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 201 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 280 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 350 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 369 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 388 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 356 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 379 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 387 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 351 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 394 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 408 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 433 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 341 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 367 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 426 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 423
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 75 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 52 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 12 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: -10 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: -19 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 1 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 1 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: -4 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 6 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 1 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 4 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 7 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 18 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 23 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: -3 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: -3 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 3 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 6 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 56 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 80 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 70 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 53 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -40 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -45 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 5 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -10 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -12 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 5 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -17 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -27 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -54 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 24 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -16 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -22
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Barrack Heights was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 7.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 80 to 84, which is expected to increase by 80 and account for 3.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 410 persons.

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