Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shellharbour City

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Shellharbour City will increase by an average of 404 dwellings per annum to 36,680 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Shellharbour City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2041
Shellharbour CityChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2041
Areanumber%
Shellharbour City+10,094+38.0
Albion Park+643+13.9
Albion Park Rail+120+4.4
Barrack Heights+187+7.7
Blackbutt - Shellharbour City Centre+1,450+106.3
Flinders+392+16.5
Lake Illawarra+208+12.7
Mount Warrigal+110+5.9
Oak Flats+125+4.8
Rural Balance+4,899+1039.4
Shell Cove+1,417+75.8
Shellharbour - Barrack Point+243+13.3
Warilla+300+10.7

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2018.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 36,680 2040 Total dwellings: 36,396 2039 Total dwellings: 36,086 2038 Total dwellings: 35,762 2037 Total dwellings: 35,436 2036 Total dwellings: 35,101 2035 Total dwellings: 34,798 2034 Total dwellings: 34,478 2033 Total dwellings: 34,130 2032 Total dwellings: 33,769 2031 Total dwellings: 33,406 2030 Total dwellings: 33,055 2029 Total dwellings: 32,698 2028 Total dwellings: 32,355 2027 Total dwellings: 31,994 2026 Total dwellings: 31,550 2025 Total dwellings: 31,101 2024 Total dwellings: 30,623 2023 Total dwellings: 30,144 2022 Total dwellings: 29,645 2021 Total dwellings: 29,086 2020 Total dwellings: 28,483 2019 Total dwellings: 27,914 2018 Total dwellings: 27,472 2017 Total dwellings: 26,967 2041 Total dwellings: 36,680 2040 Total dwellings: 36,396 2039 Total dwellings: 36,086 2038 Total dwellings: 35,762 2037 Total dwellings: 35,436 2036 Total dwellings: 35,101 2035 Total dwellings: 34,798 2034 Total dwellings: 34,478 2033 Total dwellings: 34,130 2032 Total dwellings: 33,769 2031 Total dwellings: 33,406 2030 Total dwellings: 33,055 2029 Total dwellings: 32,698 2028 Total dwellings: 32,355 2027 Total dwellings: 31,994 2026 Total dwellings: 31,550 2025 Total dwellings: 31,101 2024 Total dwellings: 30,623 2023 Total dwellings: 30,144 2022 Total dwellings: 29,645 2021 Total dwellings: 29,086 2020 Total dwellings: 28,483 2019 Total dwellings: 27,914 2018 Total dwellings: 27,472 2017 Total dwellings: 26,967 2041 Forecast development: 284 2040 Forecast development: 310 2039 Forecast development: 324 2038 Forecast development: 326 2037 Forecast development: 335 2036 Forecast development: 303 2035 Forecast development: 320 2034 Forecast development: 348 2033 Forecast development: 361 2032 Forecast development: 363 2031 Forecast development: 351 2030 Forecast development: 357 2029 Forecast development: 343 2028 Forecast development: 361 2027 Forecast development: 444 2026 Forecast development: 449 2025 Forecast development: 478 2024 Forecast development: 479 2023 Forecast development: 499 2022 Forecast development: 559 2021 Forecast development: 603 2020 Forecast development: 569 2019 Forecast development: 442 2018 Forecast development: 505 2017 Forecast development: 381
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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