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Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast

Shellharbour City Council

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Shellharbour City Council will increase by an average of 506 dwellings per annum to 39,986 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Shellharbour City Council. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2021 to 2041
Shellharbour City CouncilChange in dwellings between 2021 and 2041
Areanumber%
Shellharbour City Council+10,123+33.9
Albion Park+1,271+22.8
Albion Park Rail+229+8.2
Barrack Heights+120+5.3
Blackbutt - Shellharbour City Centre+1,530+87.4
Calderwood+3,871+392.7
Flinders+215+8.5
Lake Illawarra+141+8.5
Mount Warrigal+80+4.3
Oak Flats+735+26.7
Rural Balance+40+15.0
Shell Cove+1,347+50.2
Shellharbour - Barrack Point+140+7.5
Warilla+404+14.1
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

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