Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Shellharbour City

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Shellharbour City will increase by an average of 425 dwellings per annum to 37,211 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Shellharbour City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2041
Shellharbour CityChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2041
Areanumber%
Shellharbour City+10,625+40.0
Albion Park+643+13.9
Albion Park Rail+137+5.0
Barrack Heights+187+7.7
Blackbutt - Shellharbour City Centre+1,441+105.6
Flinders+392+16.5
Lake Illawarra+208+12.7
Mount Warrigal+122+6.5
Oak Flats+625+24.2
Rural Balance+4,899+1039.4
Shell Cove+1,404+75.1
Shellharbour - Barrack Point+255+13.9
Warilla+312+11.1

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 37,211 2040 Total dwellings: 36,915 2039 Total dwellings: 36,593 2038 Total dwellings: 36,257 2037 Total dwellings: 35,914 2036 Total dwellings: 35,562 2035 Total dwellings: 35,244 2034 Total dwellings: 34,904 2033 Total dwellings: 34,531 2032 Total dwellings: 34,150 2031 Total dwellings: 33,767 2030 Total dwellings: 33,389 2029 Total dwellings: 33,010 2028 Total dwellings: 32,645 2027 Total dwellings: 32,257 2026 Total dwellings: 31,786 2025 Total dwellings: 31,310 2024 Total dwellings: 30,802 2023 Total dwellings: 30,283 2022 Total dwellings: 29,744 2021 Total dwellings: 29,146 2020 Total dwellings: 28,501 2019 Total dwellings: 27,925 2018 Total dwellings: 27,525 2017 Total dwellings: 27,006 2041 Total dwellings: 37,211 2040 Total dwellings: 36,915 2039 Total dwellings: 36,593 2038 Total dwellings: 36,257 2037 Total dwellings: 35,914 2036 Total dwellings: 35,562 2035 Total dwellings: 35,244 2034 Total dwellings: 34,904 2033 Total dwellings: 34,531 2032 Total dwellings: 34,150 2031 Total dwellings: 33,767 2030 Total dwellings: 33,389 2029 Total dwellings: 33,010 2028 Total dwellings: 32,645 2027 Total dwellings: 32,257 2026 Total dwellings: 31,786 2025 Total dwellings: 31,310 2024 Total dwellings: 30,802 2023 Total dwellings: 30,283 2022 Total dwellings: 29,744 2021 Total dwellings: 29,146 2020 Total dwellings: 28,501 2019 Total dwellings: 27,925 2018 Total dwellings: 27,525 2017 Total dwellings: 27,006 2041 Forecast development: 296 2040 Forecast development: 322 2039 Forecast development: 336 2038 Forecast development: 343 2037 Forecast development: 352 2036 Forecast development: 318 2035 Forecast development: 340 2034 Forecast development: 373 2033 Forecast development: 381 2032 Forecast development: 383 2031 Forecast development: 378 2030 Forecast development: 379 2029 Forecast development: 365 2028 Forecast development: 388 2027 Forecast development: 471 2026 Forecast development: 476 2025 Forecast development: 508 2024 Forecast development: 519 2023 Forecast development: 539 2022 Forecast development: 598 2021 Forecast development: 645 2020 Forecast development: 576 2019 Forecast development: 400 2018 Forecast development: 519 2017 Forecast development: 420
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
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