Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shellharbour City

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Shellharbour City indicate a 16.7% increase in population under working age, a 45.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 8.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Shellharbour City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Shellharbour City - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 4,6846.65,4746.76,1406.5+1,456
5 to 9 4,9077.05,7117.06,3296.7+1,422
10 to 14 4,7136.75,5026.76,1376.5+1,424
15 to 19 4,9087.05,1776.35,7916.2+883
20 to 24 4,6076.54,5845.65,1395.5+533
25 to 29 4,2106.04,5575.64,9605.3+750
30 to 34 4,3956.24,9766.15,4685.8+1,073
35 to 39 4,1575.95,2476.45,8806.3+1,723
40 to 44 4,6976.75,3046.56,0216.4+1,324
45 to 49 4,5616.54,8725.95,8176.2+1,256
50 to 54 4,7656.84,7265.85,3735.7+608
55 to 59 4,5856.54,5755.65,0545.4+469
60 to 64 3,9335.64,7815.84,8025.1+869
65 to 69 3,6755.24,6585.74,8185.1+1,143
70 to 74 2,7994.03,8884.74,5194.8+1,720
75 to 79 2,1283.03,1953.94,1704.4+2,042
80 to 84 1,4172.02,2632.83,5513.8+2,134
85 and over1,3511.92,5493.13,9274.2+2,576
Total persons70,492100.082,037100.093,898100.0+23,406

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 3,927 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 3,551 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 4,170 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 4,519 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 4,818 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 4,802 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 5,054 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 5,373 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 5,817 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 6,021 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 5,880 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 5,468 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 4,960 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 5,139 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 5,791 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 6,137 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 6,329 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 6,140 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 2,549 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 2,263 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 3,195 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 3,888 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 4,658 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 4,781 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 4,575 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 4,726 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 4,872 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 5,304 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 5,247 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 4,976 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 4,557 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 4,584 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 5,177 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 5,502 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 5,711 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 5,474 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 1,351 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1,417 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 2,128 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 2,799 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 3,675 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 3,933 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 4,585 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 4,765 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 4,561 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 4,697 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 4,157 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 4,395 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 4,210 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 4,607 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 4,908 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 4,713 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 4,907 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 4,684
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 1,379 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 1,288 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 976 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 632 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 161 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 20 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 479 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 647 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 945 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 717 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 633 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 492 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 403 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 556 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 614 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 636 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 618 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 666 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 1,198 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 846 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 1,067 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 1,089 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 983 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 848 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -10 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -39 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 311 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 607 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 1,090 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 581 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 347 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -23 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 269 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 789 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 804 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 790
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Shellharbour City was ages 15 to 19 , which accounted for 7.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 85 and over, which is expected to increase by 1,198 and account for 3.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 5,711 persons.

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