City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Melton East

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Melton East is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Melton depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Gain of young and mature families (0-4 years and 25-34 years) attracted to residential opportunities in the area
  • In the post 2021 period, some loss of young families (5-14 years and 35-44 years) as new development opportunties are slowly exhausted
  • Some loss of empty nesters and early retirees in the 2016-2031 period, reflective of the maturing of the suburb which will see many family homes become empty nester households and those residents will seek to move out and downsize elsewhere
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 256 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -18 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -71 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -111 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -193 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -354 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -416 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -490 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -927 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -409 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 588 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 617 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: -479 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: -1,363 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -904 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 275 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 522 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 536 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 240 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 22 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -16 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -61 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -79 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -213 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -293 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -355 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -852 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -402 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 685 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 726 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -115 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -1,029 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -795 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 274 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 504 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 661 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 146 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 6 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 67 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 26 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -2 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -134 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -188 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -184 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -710 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -201 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 483 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 459 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -131 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -906 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -407 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 542 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 734 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 789 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 256 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -18 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -71 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -111 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -193 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -354 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -416 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -490 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -927 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -409 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 588 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 617 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: -479 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: -1,363 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -904 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 275 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 522 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 536 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 240 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 22 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -16 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -61 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -79 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -213 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -293 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -355 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -852 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -402 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 685 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 726 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -115 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -1,029 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -795 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 274 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 504 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 661 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 146 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 6 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 67 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 26 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -2 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -134 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -188 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -184 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -710 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -201 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 483 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 459 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -131 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -906 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -407 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 542 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 734 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 789
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
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