City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Fraser Rise

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Fraser Rise is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Melton depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Relatively stable migration profile during the forecast period though at varying levels of absolute growth based on the volume of residential development activity in the area
  • Gain of young couples without children aged 25-29 years old
  • Gain of young and established families aged 25-39 years old with children aged 0-14 years
  • Gain of mature adults, empty nesters and early retirees aged 40-59 years
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -2 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 37 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 3 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 64 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 175 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 313 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 355 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 270 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 408 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 422 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 900 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 1,664 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 2,146 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 1,410 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 521 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 490 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 744 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 957 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 1 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 26 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 7 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 46 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 119 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 213 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 239 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 205 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 302 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 328 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 628 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,158 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,510 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 982 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 333 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 320 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 550 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 724 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 0 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 12 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 4 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 22 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 51 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 94 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 109 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 89 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 138 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 144 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 252 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 413 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 564 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 420 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 144 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 151 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 251 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 537 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -2 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 37 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 3 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 64 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 175 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 313 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 355 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 270 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 408 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 422 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 900 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 1,664 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 2,146 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 1,410 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 521 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 490 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 744 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 957 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 1 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 26 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 7 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 46 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 119 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 213 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 239 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 205 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 302 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 328 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 628 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,158 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,510 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 982 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 333 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 320 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 550 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 724 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 0 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 12 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 4 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 22 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 51 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 94 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 109 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 89 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 138 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 144 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 252 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 413 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 564 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 420 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 144 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 151 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 251 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 537
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
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