City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Taylors Hill

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Taylors Hill is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Melton depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Notable gains of young and established families aged 30-39 years with children aged 0-4 years in the 2016-2031 period
  • As the relatively new suburb reaches ultimate buildout capacity, previous migrations gains decrease in the 2021-2031 period resulting in population losses in most age groups post-2021 who seek housing opportunities elsewhere and the process of suburban regeneration begins in the late 2020s
  • Some loss of empty nesters and early retirees in the 2021-2031 period, reflective of the maturing of the suburb which will see many family homes become empty nester households and those residents will seek to move out and downsize elsewhere
  • Minimal change in net migration of persons aged 65+ years
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 49 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -10 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -6 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -9 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -48 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -62 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -94 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -118 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -134 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -69 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 133 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 126 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: -209 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: -451 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -214 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 29 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 156 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 213 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 45 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -2 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 0 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 2 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -26 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -37 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -64 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -100 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -142 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -104 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 135 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 92 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -119 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -405 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -194 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 30 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 148 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 224 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 41 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 5 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 13 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 20 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 12 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -14 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -5 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -57 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -90 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -55 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 65 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 28 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -98 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -316 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -35 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 135 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 257 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 295 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 49 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -10 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -6 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -9 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -48 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -62 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -94 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -118 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -134 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -69 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 133 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 126 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: -209 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: -451 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -214 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 29 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 156 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 213 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 45 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -2 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 0 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 2 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -26 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -37 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -64 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -100 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -142 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -104 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 135 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 92 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -119 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -405 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -194 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 30 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 148 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 224 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 41 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 5 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 13 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 20 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 12 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -14 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -5 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -57 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -90 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -55 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 65 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 28 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -98 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -316 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -35 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 135 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 257 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 295
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
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