Central Coast NSWPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Northern Lakes District

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Northern Lakes District is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 3,725 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Northern Lakes DistrictForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--1,0251,0091,1001,323
Deaths--1,0101,1451,3061,509
Natural increase/decrease--15-136-206-186
Net migration--8221,2513,5453,912
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--0000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 626 2035 forecast population change: 703 2034 forecast population change: 787 2033 forecast population change: 814 2032 forecast population change: 796 2031 forecast population change: 758 2030 forecast population change: 724 2029 forecast population change: 725 2028 forecast population change: 626 2027 forecast population change: 507 2026 forecast population change: 432 2025 forecast population change: 268 2024 forecast population change: 169 2023 forecast population change: 147 2022 forecast population change: 100 2021 forecast population change: 132 2020 forecast population change: 77 2019 forecast population change: 245 2018 forecast population change: 222 2017 forecast population change: 160
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: -36 2035 Natural increase: -36 2034 Natural increase: -36 2033 Natural increase: -38 2032 Natural increase: -39 2031 Natural increase: -40 2030 Natural increase: -41 2029 Natural increase: -42 2028 Natural increase: -42 2027 Natural increase: -40 2026 Natural increase: -37 2025 Natural increase: -33 2024 Natural increase: -28 2023 Natural increase: -22 2022 Natural increase: -16 2021 Natural increase: -11 2020 Natural increase: -3 2019 Natural increase: 4 2018 Natural increase: 8 2017 Natural increase: 16 2036 Total deaths: 318 2035 Total deaths: 310 2034 Total deaths: 302 2033 Total deaths: 294 2032 Total deaths: 285 2031 Total deaths: 277 2030 Total deaths: 269 2029 Total deaths: 261 2028 Total deaths: 253 2027 Total deaths: 246 2026 Total deaths: 239 2025 Total deaths: 233 2024 Total deaths: 229 2023 Total deaths: 224 2022 Total deaths: 220 2021 Total deaths: 215 2020 Total deaths: 209 2019 Total deaths: 202 2018 Total deaths: 196 2017 Total deaths: 188 2036 Total births: 282 2035 Total births: 274 2034 Total births: 265 2033 Total births: 256 2032 Total births: 246 2031 Total births: 237 2030 Total births: 228 2029 Total births: 219 2028 Total births: 211 2027 Total births: 206 2026 Total births: 202 2025 Total births: 201 2024 Total births: 201 2023 Total births: 202 2022 Total births: 204 2021 Total births: 204 2020 Total births: 207 2019 Total births: 205 2018 Total births: 204 2017 Total births: 204 2036 Natural increase: -36 2035 Natural increase: -36 2034 Natural increase: -36 2033 Natural increase: -38 2032 Natural increase: -39 2031 Natural increase: -40 2030 Natural increase: -41 2029 Natural increase: -42 2028 Natural increase: -42 2027 Natural increase: -40 2026 Natural increase: -37 2025 Natural increase: -33 2024 Natural increase: -28 2023 Natural increase: -22 2022 Natural increase: -16 2021 Natural increase: -11 2020 Natural increase: -3 2019 Natural increase: 4 2018 Natural increase: 8 2017 Natural increase: 16 2036 Total deaths: 318 2035 Total deaths: 310 2034 Total deaths: 302 2033 Total deaths: 294 2032 Total deaths: 285 2031 Total deaths: 277 2030 Total deaths: 269 2029 Total deaths: 261 2028 Total deaths: 253 2027 Total deaths: 246 2026 Total deaths: 239 2025 Total deaths: 233 2024 Total deaths: 229 2023 Total deaths: 224 2022 Total deaths: 220 2021 Total deaths: 215 2020 Total deaths: 209 2019 Total deaths: 202 2018 Total deaths: 196 2017 Total deaths: 188 2036 Total births: 282 2035 Total births: 274 2034 Total births: 265 2033 Total births: 256 2032 Total births: 246 2031 Total births: 237 2030 Total births: 228 2029 Total births: 219 2028 Total births: 211 2027 Total births: 206 2026 Total births: 202 2025 Total births: 201 2024 Total births: 201 2023 Total births: 202 2022 Total births: 204 2021 Total births: 204 2020 Total births: 207 2019 Total births: 205 2018 Total births: 204 2017 Total births: 204
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 662 2035 Total net migration: 739 2034 Total net migration: 823 2033 Total net migration: 852 2032 Total net migration: 836 2031 Total net migration: 798 2030 Total net migration: 765 2029 Total net migration: 768 2028 Total net migration: 668 2027 Total net migration: 547 2026 Total net migration: 469 2025 Total net migration: 301 2024 Total net migration: 196 2023 Total net migration: 169 2022 Total net migration: 116 2021 Total net migration: 143 2020 Total net migration: 80 2019 Total net migration: 241 2018 Total net migration: 214 2017 Total net migration: 144 2036 Total out migration: 1,852 2035 Total out migration: 1,802 2034 Total out migration: 1,744 2033 Total out migration: 1,683 2032 Total out migration: 1,622 2031 Total out migration: 1,565 2030 Total out migration: 1,510 2029 Total out migration: 1,453 2028 Total out migration: 1,406 2027 Total out migration: 1,349 2026 Total out migration: 1,320 2025 Total out migration: 1,303 2024 Total out migration: 1,297 2023 Total out migration: 1,292 2022 Total out migration: 1,293 2021 Total out migration: 1,287 2020 Total out migration: 1,287 2019 Total out migration: 1,269 2018 Total out migration: 1,254 2017 Total out migration: 1,241 2036 Total in migration: 2,515 2035 Total in migration: 2,541 2034 Total in migration: 2,567 2033 Total in migration: 2,534 2032 Total in migration: 2,458 2031 Total in migration: 2,363 2030 Total in migration: 2,274 2029 Total in migration: 2,221 2028 Total in migration: 2,074 2027 Total in migration: 1,897 2026 Total in migration: 1,789 2025 Total in migration: 1,604 2024 Total in migration: 1,493 2023 Total in migration: 1,461 2022 Total in migration: 1,409 2021 Total in migration: 1,431 2020 Total in migration: 1,367 2019 Total in migration: 1,511 2018 Total in migration: 1,468 2017 Total in migration: 1,384 2036 Total net migration: 662 2035 Total net migration: 739 2034 Total net migration: 823 2033 Total net migration: 852 2032 Total net migration: 836 2031 Total net migration: 798 2030 Total net migration: 765 2029 Total net migration: 768 2028 Total net migration: 668 2027 Total net migration: 547 2026 Total net migration: 469 2025 Total net migration: 301 2024 Total net migration: 196 2023 Total net migration: 169 2022 Total net migration: 116 2021 Total net migration: 143 2020 Total net migration: 80 2019 Total net migration: 241 2018 Total net migration: 214 2017 Total net migration: 144 2036 Total out migration: 1,852 2035 Total out migration: 1,802 2034 Total out migration: 1,744 2033 Total out migration: 1,683 2032 Total out migration: 1,622 2031 Total out migration: 1,565 2030 Total out migration: 1,510 2029 Total out migration: 1,453 2028 Total out migration: 1,406 2027 Total out migration: 1,349 2026 Total out migration: 1,320 2025 Total out migration: 1,303 2024 Total out migration: 1,297 2023 Total out migration: 1,292 2022 Total out migration: 1,293 2021 Total out migration: 1,287 2020 Total out migration: 1,287 2019 Total out migration: 1,269 2018 Total out migration: 1,254 2017 Total out migration: 1,241 2036 Total in migration: 2,515 2035 Total in migration: 2,541 2034 Total in migration: 2,567 2033 Total in migration: 2,534 2032 Total in migration: 2,458 2031 Total in migration: 2,363 2030 Total in migration: 2,274 2029 Total in migration: 2,221 2028 Total in migration: 2,074 2027 Total in migration: 1,897 2026 Total in migration: 1,789 2025 Total in migration: 1,604 2024 Total in migration: 1,493 2023 Total in migration: 1,461 2022 Total in migration: 1,409 2021 Total in migration: 1,431 2020 Total in migration: 1,367 2019 Total in migration: 1,511 2018 Total in migration: 1,468 2017 Total in migration: 1,384
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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