Central Coast NSWPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

Lake Munmorah - Chain Valley Bay

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Lake Munmorah - Chain Valley Bay is forecast for the period from 2027 to 2031, which is expected to have a net increase of 2,835 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Lake Munmorah - Chain Valley BayForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--492489591737
Deaths--635710825954
Natural increase/decrease---142-221-234-217
Net migration--6341,3713,0692,619
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--0000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 351 2035 forecast population change: 422 2034 forecast population change: 509 2033 forecast population change: 537 2032 forecast population change: 581 2031 forecast population change: 596 2030 forecast population change: 558 2029 forecast population change: 565 2028 forecast population change: 589 2027 forecast population change: 528 2026 forecast population change: 446 2025 forecast population change: 272 2024 forecast population change: 177 2023 forecast population change: 159 2022 forecast population change: 97 2021 forecast population change: 83 2020 forecast population change: 45 2019 forecast population change: 131 2018 forecast population change: 130 2017 forecast population change: 102
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: -45 2035 Natural increase: -43 2034 Natural increase: -43 2033 Natural increase: -43 2032 Natural increase: -44 2031 Natural increase: -45 2030 Natural increase: -45 2029 Natural increase: -47 2028 Natural increase: -48 2027 Natural increase: -49 2026 Natural increase: -49 2025 Natural increase: -47 2024 Natural increase: -44 2023 Natural increase: -42 2022 Natural increase: -39 2021 Natural increase: -36 2020 Natural increase: -32 2019 Natural increase: -28 2018 Natural increase: -26 2017 Natural increase: -21 2036 Total deaths: 200 2035 Total deaths: 196 2034 Total deaths: 191 2033 Total deaths: 186 2032 Total deaths: 181 2031 Total deaths: 176 2030 Total deaths: 170 2029 Total deaths: 165 2028 Total deaths: 160 2027 Total deaths: 154 2026 Total deaths: 149 2025 Total deaths: 145 2024 Total deaths: 142 2023 Total deaths: 138 2022 Total deaths: 136 2021 Total deaths: 134 2020 Total deaths: 131 2019 Total deaths: 126 2018 Total deaths: 124 2017 Total deaths: 120 2036 Total births: 156 2035 Total births: 153 2034 Total births: 148 2033 Total births: 143 2032 Total births: 137 2031 Total births: 131 2030 Total births: 125 2029 Total births: 119 2028 Total births: 111 2027 Total births: 105 2026 Total births: 100 2025 Total births: 98 2024 Total births: 97 2023 Total births: 97 2022 Total births: 97 2021 Total births: 98 2020 Total births: 99 2019 Total births: 99 2018 Total births: 98 2017 Total births: 99 2036 Natural increase: -45 2035 Natural increase: -43 2034 Natural increase: -43 2033 Natural increase: -43 2032 Natural increase: -44 2031 Natural increase: -45 2030 Natural increase: -45 2029 Natural increase: -47 2028 Natural increase: -48 2027 Natural increase: -49 2026 Natural increase: -49 2025 Natural increase: -47 2024 Natural increase: -44 2023 Natural increase: -42 2022 Natural increase: -39 2021 Natural increase: -36 2020 Natural increase: -32 2019 Natural increase: -28 2018 Natural increase: -26 2017 Natural increase: -21 2036 Total deaths: 200 2035 Total deaths: 196 2034 Total deaths: 191 2033 Total deaths: 186 2032 Total deaths: 181 2031 Total deaths: 176 2030 Total deaths: 170 2029 Total deaths: 165 2028 Total deaths: 160 2027 Total deaths: 154 2026 Total deaths: 149 2025 Total deaths: 145 2024 Total deaths: 142 2023 Total deaths: 138 2022 Total deaths: 136 2021 Total deaths: 134 2020 Total deaths: 131 2019 Total deaths: 126 2018 Total deaths: 124 2017 Total deaths: 120 2036 Total births: 156 2035 Total births: 153 2034 Total births: 148 2033 Total births: 143 2032 Total births: 137 2031 Total births: 131 2030 Total births: 125 2029 Total births: 119 2028 Total births: 111 2027 Total births: 105 2026 Total births: 100 2025 Total births: 98 2024 Total births: 97 2023 Total births: 97 2022 Total births: 97 2021 Total births: 98 2020 Total births: 99 2019 Total births: 99 2018 Total births: 98 2017 Total births: 99
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 396 2035 Total net migration: 466 2034 Total net migration: 552 2033 Total net migration: 580 2032 Total net migration: 625 2031 Total net migration: 640 2030 Total net migration: 603 2029 Total net migration: 612 2028 Total net migration: 637 2027 Total net migration: 576 2026 Total net migration: 495 2025 Total net migration: 319 2024 Total net migration: 221 2023 Total net migration: 201 2022 Total net migration: 136 2021 Total net migration: 119 2020 Total net migration: 77 2019 Total net migration: 159 2018 Total net migration: 156 2017 Total net migration: 123 2036 Total out migration: 1,067 2035 Total out migration: 1,041 2034 Total out migration: 1,007 2033 Total out migration: 970 2032 Total out migration: 930 2031 Total out migration: 887 2030 Total out migration: 846 2029 Total out migration: 805 2028 Total out migration: 761 2027 Total out migration: 700 2026 Total out migration: 668 2025 Total out migration: 648 2024 Total out migration: 637 2023 Total out migration: 627 2022 Total out migration: 620 2021 Total out migration: 616 2020 Total out migration: 615 2019 Total out migration: 607 2018 Total out migration: 598 2017 Total out migration: 590 2036 Total in migration: 1,463 2035 Total in migration: 1,507 2034 Total in migration: 1,559 2033 Total in migration: 1,550 2032 Total in migration: 1,554 2031 Total in migration: 1,527 2030 Total in migration: 1,450 2029 Total in migration: 1,417 2028 Total in migration: 1,398 2027 Total in migration: 1,277 2026 Total in migration: 1,162 2025 Total in migration: 968 2024 Total in migration: 858 2023 Total in migration: 828 2022 Total in migration: 756 2021 Total in migration: 736 2020 Total in migration: 692 2019 Total in migration: 766 2018 Total in migration: 754 2017 Total in migration: 713 2036 Total net migration: 396 2035 Total net migration: 466 2034 Total net migration: 552 2033 Total net migration: 580 2032 Total net migration: 625 2031 Total net migration: 640 2030 Total net migration: 603 2029 Total net migration: 612 2028 Total net migration: 637 2027 Total net migration: 576 2026 Total net migration: 495 2025 Total net migration: 319 2024 Total net migration: 221 2023 Total net migration: 201 2022 Total net migration: 136 2021 Total net migration: 119 2020 Total net migration: 77 2019 Total net migration: 159 2018 Total net migration: 156 2017 Total net migration: 123 2036 Total out migration: 1,067 2035 Total out migration: 1,041 2034 Total out migration: 1,007 2033 Total out migration: 970 2032 Total out migration: 930 2031 Total out migration: 887 2030 Total out migration: 846 2029 Total out migration: 805 2028 Total out migration: 761 2027 Total out migration: 700 2026 Total out migration: 668 2025 Total out migration: 648 2024 Total out migration: 637 2023 Total out migration: 627 2022 Total out migration: 620 2021 Total out migration: 616 2020 Total out migration: 615 2019 Total out migration: 607 2018 Total out migration: 598 2017 Total out migration: 590 2036 Total in migration: 1,463 2035 Total in migration: 1,507 2034 Total in migration: 1,559 2033 Total in migration: 1,550 2032 Total in migration: 1,554 2031 Total in migration: 1,527 2030 Total in migration: 1,450 2029 Total in migration: 1,417 2028 Total in migration: 1,398 2027 Total in migration: 1,277 2026 Total in migration: 1,162 2025 Total in migration: 968 2024 Total in migration: 858 2023 Total in migration: 828 2022 Total in migration: 756 2021 Total in migration: 736 2020 Total in migration: 692 2019 Total in migration: 766 2018 Total in migration: 754 2017 Total in migration: 713
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
v18.02.07-1.0.0