Central Coast NSWPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Long Jetty - Shelly Beach - Toowoon Bay - Blue Bay

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Long Jetty - Shelly Beach - Toowoon Bay - Blue Bay is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 754 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Long Jetty - Shelly Beach - Toowoon Bay - Blue BayForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--605636649637
Deaths--608610624639
Natural increase/decrease---32626-2
Net migration--7585638076
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--0000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 15 2035 forecast population change: 16 2034 forecast population change: 15 2033 forecast population change: 15 2032 forecast population change: 13 2031 forecast population change: 10 2030 forecast population change: 9 2029 forecast population change: 7 2028 forecast population change: 25 2027 forecast population change: 54 2026 forecast population change: 92 2025 forecast population change: 130 2024 forecast population change: 135 2023 forecast population change: 139 2022 forecast population change: 93 2021 forecast population change: 131 2020 forecast population change: 125 2019 forecast population change: 124 2018 forecast population change: 149 2017 forecast population change: 226
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: -2 2035 Natural increase: -2 2034 Natural increase: -1 2033 Natural increase: 1 2032 Natural increase: 2 2031 Natural increase: 3 2030 Natural increase: 4 2029 Natural increase: 5 2028 Natural increase: 6 2027 Natural increase: 7 2026 Natural increase: 7 2025 Natural increase: 6 2024 Natural increase: 5 2023 Natural increase: 5 2022 Natural increase: 4 2021 Natural increase: 3 2020 Natural increase: 0 2019 Natural increase: -2 2018 Natural increase: -2 2017 Natural increase: -3 2036 Total deaths: 129 2035 Total deaths: 129 2034 Total deaths: 128 2033 Total deaths: 127 2032 Total deaths: 126 2031 Total deaths: 126 2030 Total deaths: 125 2029 Total deaths: 125 2028 Total deaths: 124 2027 Total deaths: 124 2026 Total deaths: 123 2025 Total deaths: 122 2024 Total deaths: 122 2023 Total deaths: 121 2022 Total deaths: 121 2021 Total deaths: 121 2020 Total deaths: 122 2019 Total deaths: 123 2018 Total deaths: 122 2017 Total deaths: 120 2036 Total births: 127 2035 Total births: 127 2034 Total births: 127 2033 Total births: 128 2032 Total births: 128 2031 Total births: 129 2030 Total births: 129 2029 Total births: 130 2028 Total births: 131 2027 Total births: 131 2026 Total births: 130 2025 Total births: 129 2024 Total births: 127 2023 Total births: 126 2022 Total births: 125 2021 Total births: 124 2020 Total births: 123 2019 Total births: 121 2018 Total births: 120 2017 Total births: 117 2036 Natural increase: -2 2035 Natural increase: -2 2034 Natural increase: -1 2033 Natural increase: 1 2032 Natural increase: 2 2031 Natural increase: 3 2030 Natural increase: 4 2029 Natural increase: 5 2028 Natural increase: 6 2027 Natural increase: 7 2026 Natural increase: 7 2025 Natural increase: 6 2024 Natural increase: 5 2023 Natural increase: 5 2022 Natural increase: 4 2021 Natural increase: 3 2020 Natural increase: 0 2019 Natural increase: -2 2018 Natural increase: -2 2017 Natural increase: -3 2036 Total deaths: 129 2035 Total deaths: 129 2034 Total deaths: 128 2033 Total deaths: 127 2032 Total deaths: 126 2031 Total deaths: 126 2030 Total deaths: 125 2029 Total deaths: 125 2028 Total deaths: 124 2027 Total deaths: 124 2026 Total deaths: 123 2025 Total deaths: 122 2024 Total deaths: 122 2023 Total deaths: 121 2022 Total deaths: 121 2021 Total deaths: 121 2020 Total deaths: 122 2019 Total deaths: 123 2018 Total deaths: 122 2017 Total deaths: 120 2036 Total births: 127 2035 Total births: 127 2034 Total births: 127 2033 Total births: 128 2032 Total births: 128 2031 Total births: 129 2030 Total births: 129 2029 Total births: 130 2028 Total births: 131 2027 Total births: 131 2026 Total births: 130 2025 Total births: 129 2024 Total births: 127 2023 Total births: 126 2022 Total births: 125 2021 Total births: 124 2020 Total births: 123 2019 Total births: 121 2018 Total births: 120 2017 Total births: 117
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 18 2035 Total net migration: 18 2034 Total net migration: 15 2033 Total net migration: 14 2032 Total net migration: 12 2031 Total net migration: 8 2030 Total net migration: 5 2029 Total net migration: 1 2028 Total net migration: 19 2027 Total net migration: 47 2026 Total net migration: 85 2025 Total net migration: 124 2024 Total net migration: 130 2023 Total net migration: 134 2022 Total net migration: 90 2021 Total net migration: 128 2020 Total net migration: 125 2019 Total net migration: 127 2018 Total net migration: 150 2017 Total net migration: 228 2036 Total out migration: 841 2035 Total out migration: 841 2034 Total out migration: 841 2033 Total out migration: 841 2032 Total out migration: 842 2031 Total out migration: 842 2030 Total out migration: 843 2029 Total out migration: 845 2028 Total out migration: 846 2027 Total out migration: 848 2026 Total out migration: 842 2025 Total out migration: 831 2024 Total out migration: 821 2023 Total out migration: 809 2022 Total out migration: 801 2021 Total out migration: 792 2020 Total out migration: 782 2019 Total out migration: 772 2018 Total out migration: 755 2017 Total out migration: 731 2036 Total in migration: 859 2035 Total in migration: 859 2034 Total in migration: 856 2033 Total in migration: 856 2032 Total in migration: 853 2031 Total in migration: 850 2030 Total in migration: 849 2029 Total in migration: 846 2028 Total in migration: 865 2027 Total in migration: 896 2026 Total in migration: 927 2025 Total in migration: 955 2024 Total in migration: 951 2023 Total in migration: 944 2022 Total in migration: 891 2021 Total in migration: 920 2020 Total in migration: 907 2019 Total in migration: 898 2018 Total in migration: 905 2017 Total in migration: 959 2036 Total net migration: 18 2035 Total net migration: 18 2034 Total net migration: 15 2033 Total net migration: 14 2032 Total net migration: 12 2031 Total net migration: 8 2030 Total net migration: 5 2029 Total net migration: 1 2028 Total net migration: 19 2027 Total net migration: 47 2026 Total net migration: 85 2025 Total net migration: 124 2024 Total net migration: 130 2023 Total net migration: 134 2022 Total net migration: 90 2021 Total net migration: 128 2020 Total net migration: 125 2019 Total net migration: 127 2018 Total net migration: 150 2017 Total net migration: 228 2036 Total out migration: 841 2035 Total out migration: 841 2034 Total out migration: 841 2033 Total out migration: 841 2032 Total out migration: 842 2031 Total out migration: 842 2030 Total out migration: 843 2029 Total out migration: 845 2028 Total out migration: 846 2027 Total out migration: 848 2026 Total out migration: 842 2025 Total out migration: 831 2024 Total out migration: 821 2023 Total out migration: 809 2022 Total out migration: 801 2021 Total out migration: 792 2020 Total out migration: 782 2019 Total out migration: 772 2018 Total out migration: 755 2017 Total out migration: 731 2036 Total in migration: 859 2035 Total in migration: 859 2034 Total in migration: 856 2033 Total in migration: 856 2032 Total in migration: 853 2031 Total in migration: 850 2030 Total in migration: 849 2029 Total in migration: 846 2028 Total in migration: 865 2027 Total in migration: 896 2026 Total in migration: 927 2025 Total in migration: 955 2024 Total in migration: 951 2023 Total in migration: 944 2022 Total in migration: 891 2021 Total in migration: 920 2020 Total in migration: 907 2019 Total in migration: 898 2018 Total in migration: 905 2017 Total in migration: 959
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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