Central Coast NSWPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Umina Beach - Pearl Beach - Patonga

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Umina Beach - Pearl Beach - Patonga is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 236 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Umina Beach - Pearl Beach - PatongaForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--1,0751,0871,0771,075
Deaths--9609791,0241,062
Natural increase/decrease--1151085313
Net migration--52-163184
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--69606868

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 91 2035 forecast population change: 22 2034 forecast population change: 20 2033 forecast population change: 19 2032 forecast population change: 13 2031 forecast population change: 88 2030 forecast population change: 16 2029 forecast population change: 12 2028 forecast population change: 7 2027 forecast population change: 0 2026 forecast population change: 62 2025 forecast population change: -9 2024 forecast population change: -19 2023 forecast population change: -7 2022 forecast population change: -22 2021 forecast population change: 55 2020 forecast population change: 59 2019 forecast population change: 27 2018 forecast population change: 47 2017 forecast population change: 48
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 1 2035 Natural increase: 1 2034 Natural increase: 2 2033 Natural increase: 3 2032 Natural increase: 5 2031 Natural increase: 7 2030 Natural increase: 8 2029 Natural increase: 10 2028 Natural increase: 13 2027 Natural increase: 16 2026 Natural increase: 18 2025 Natural increase: 20 2024 Natural increase: 22 2023 Natural increase: 24 2022 Natural increase: 25 2021 Natural increase: 24 2020 Natural increase: 24 2019 Natural increase: 23 2018 Natural increase: 22 2017 Natural increase: 22 2036 Total deaths: 214 2035 Total deaths: 214 2034 Total deaths: 212 2033 Total deaths: 212 2032 Total deaths: 210 2031 Total deaths: 208 2030 Total deaths: 207 2029 Total deaths: 205 2028 Total deaths: 203 2027 Total deaths: 200 2026 Total deaths: 198 2025 Total deaths: 197 2024 Total deaths: 196 2023 Total deaths: 194 2022 Total deaths: 193 2021 Total deaths: 193 2020 Total deaths: 193 2019 Total deaths: 192 2018 Total deaths: 191 2017 Total deaths: 190 2036 Total births: 215 2035 Total births: 215 2034 Total births: 215 2033 Total births: 215 2032 Total births: 215 2031 Total births: 215 2030 Total births: 215 2029 Total births: 215 2028 Total births: 216 2027 Total births: 216 2026 Total births: 216 2025 Total births: 217 2024 Total births: 217 2023 Total births: 218 2022 Total births: 218 2021 Total births: 218 2020 Total births: 217 2019 Total births: 215 2018 Total births: 214 2017 Total births: 212 2036 Natural increase: 1 2035 Natural increase: 1 2034 Natural increase: 2 2033 Natural increase: 3 2032 Natural increase: 5 2031 Natural increase: 7 2030 Natural increase: 8 2029 Natural increase: 10 2028 Natural increase: 13 2027 Natural increase: 16 2026 Natural increase: 18 2025 Natural increase: 20 2024 Natural increase: 22 2023 Natural increase: 24 2022 Natural increase: 25 2021 Natural increase: 24 2020 Natural increase: 24 2019 Natural increase: 23 2018 Natural increase: 22 2017 Natural increase: 22 2036 Total deaths: 214 2035 Total deaths: 214 2034 Total deaths: 212 2033 Total deaths: 212 2032 Total deaths: 210 2031 Total deaths: 208 2030 Total deaths: 207 2029 Total deaths: 205 2028 Total deaths: 203 2027 Total deaths: 200 2026 Total deaths: 198 2025 Total deaths: 197 2024 Total deaths: 196 2023 Total deaths: 194 2022 Total deaths: 193 2021 Total deaths: 193 2020 Total deaths: 193 2019 Total deaths: 192 2018 Total deaths: 191 2017 Total deaths: 190 2036 Total births: 215 2035 Total births: 215 2034 Total births: 215 2033 Total births: 215 2032 Total births: 215 2031 Total births: 215 2030 Total births: 215 2029 Total births: 215 2028 Total births: 216 2027 Total births: 216 2026 Total births: 216 2025 Total births: 217 2024 Total births: 217 2023 Total births: 218 2022 Total births: 218 2021 Total births: 218 2020 Total births: 217 2019 Total births: 215 2018 Total births: 214 2017 Total births: 212
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 22 2035 Total net migration: 20 2034 Total net migration: 18 2033 Total net migration: 16 2032 Total net migration: 8 2031 Total net migration: 13 2030 Total net migration: 8 2029 Total net migration: 2 2028 Total net migration: -6 2027 Total net migration: -15 2026 Total net migration: -16 2025 Total net migration: -29 2024 Total net migration: -41 2023 Total net migration: -30 2022 Total net migration: -47 2021 Total net migration: 1 2020 Total net migration: -4 2019 Total net migration: 4 2018 Total net migration: 24 2017 Total net migration: 26 2036 Total out migration: 1,393 2035 Total out migration: 1,393 2034 Total out migration: 1,391 2033 Total out migration: 1,390 2032 Total out migration: 1,388 2031 Total out migration: 1,386 2030 Total out migration: 1,384 2029 Total out migration: 1,383 2028 Total out migration: 1,382 2027 Total out migration: 1,382 2026 Total out migration: 1,382 2025 Total out migration: 1,385 2024 Total out migration: 1,388 2023 Total out migration: 1,389 2022 Total out migration: 1,394 2021 Total out migration: 1,392 2020 Total out migration: 1,390 2019 Total out migration: 1,388 2018 Total out migration: 1,377 2017 Total out migration: 1,372 2036 Total in migration: 1,416 2035 Total in migration: 1,413 2034 Total in migration: 1,409 2033 Total in migration: 1,405 2032 Total in migration: 1,396 2031 Total in migration: 1,399 2030 Total in migration: 1,392 2029 Total in migration: 1,385 2028 Total in migration: 1,377 2027 Total in migration: 1,367 2026 Total in migration: 1,366 2025 Total in migration: 1,357 2024 Total in migration: 1,347 2023 Total in migration: 1,358 2022 Total in migration: 1,347 2021 Total in migration: 1,393 2020 Total in migration: 1,387 2019 Total in migration: 1,392 2018 Total in migration: 1,401 2017 Total in migration: 1,398 2036 Total net migration: 22 2035 Total net migration: 20 2034 Total net migration: 18 2033 Total net migration: 16 2032 Total net migration: 8 2031 Total net migration: 13 2030 Total net migration: 8 2029 Total net migration: 2 2028 Total net migration: -6 2027 Total net migration: -15 2026 Total net migration: -16 2025 Total net migration: -29 2024 Total net migration: -41 2023 Total net migration: -30 2022 Total net migration: -47 2021 Total net migration: 1 2020 Total net migration: -4 2019 Total net migration: 4 2018 Total net migration: 24 2017 Total net migration: 26 2036 Total out migration: 1,393 2035 Total out migration: 1,393 2034 Total out migration: 1,391 2033 Total out migration: 1,390 2032 Total out migration: 1,388 2031 Total out migration: 1,386 2030 Total out migration: 1,384 2029 Total out migration: 1,383 2028 Total out migration: 1,382 2027 Total out migration: 1,382 2026 Total out migration: 1,382 2025 Total out migration: 1,385 2024 Total out migration: 1,388 2023 Total out migration: 1,389 2022 Total out migration: 1,394 2021 Total out migration: 1,392 2020 Total out migration: 1,390 2019 Total out migration: 1,388 2018 Total out migration: 1,377 2017 Total out migration: 1,372 2036 Total in migration: 1,416 2035 Total in migration: 1,413 2034 Total in migration: 1,409 2033 Total in migration: 1,405 2032 Total in migration: 1,396 2031 Total in migration: 1,399 2030 Total in migration: 1,392 2029 Total in migration: 1,385 2028 Total in migration: 1,377 2027 Total in migration: 1,367 2026 Total in migration: 1,366 2025 Total in migration: 1,357 2024 Total in migration: 1,347 2023 Total in migration: 1,358 2022 Total in migration: 1,347 2021 Total in migration: 1,393 2020 Total in migration: 1,387 2019 Total in migration: 1,392 2018 Total in migration: 1,401 2017 Total in migration: 1,398
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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