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Narre Warren South

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Narre Warren South is forecast for the period from 2037 to 2041, which is expected to have a net increase of -101 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Narre Warren SouthForecast period
Component2017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births2,0081,8901,7801,7281,707
Deaths5586768069451,042
Natural increase/decrease1,4501,214973782665
Net migration-1,814-2,291-1,666-1,123-767
Change in persons in non-private dwellings00000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: -8 2040 forecast population change: -14 2039 forecast population change: -20 2038 forecast population change: -30 2037 forecast population change: -30 2036 forecast population change: -41 2035 forecast population change: -52 2034 forecast population change: -65 2033 forecast population change: -84 2032 forecast population change: -98 2031 forecast population change: -103 2030 forecast population change: -114 2029 forecast population change: -137 2028 forecast population change: -159 2027 forecast population change: -179 2026 forecast population change: -222 2025 forecast population change: -235 2024 forecast population change: -246 2023 forecast population change: -236 2022 forecast population change: -138 2021 forecast population change: -202 2020 forecast population change: 46 2019 forecast population change: 43 2018 forecast population change: -161 2017 forecast population change: -89
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 126 2040 Natural increase: 129 2039 Natural increase: 133 2038 Natural increase: 136 2037 Natural increase: 140 2036 Natural increase: 145 2035 Natural increase: 150 2034 Natural increase: 156 2033 Natural increase: 162 2032 Natural increase: 170 2031 Natural increase: 177 2030 Natural increase: 185 2029 Natural increase: 193 2028 Natural increase: 204 2027 Natural increase: 215 2026 Natural increase: 223 2025 Natural increase: 233 2024 Natural increase: 243 2023 Natural increase: 254 2022 Natural increase: 261 2021 Natural increase: 273 2020 Natural increase: 279 2019 Natural increase: 288 2018 Natural increase: 299 2017 Natural increase: 311 2041 Total deaths: 214 2040 Total deaths: 212 2039 Total deaths: 208 2038 Total deaths: 205 2037 Total deaths: 202 2036 Total deaths: 198 2035 Total deaths: 194 2034 Total deaths: 189 2033 Total deaths: 185 2032 Total deaths: 179 2031 Total deaths: 174 2030 Total deaths: 168 2029 Total deaths: 162 2028 Total deaths: 155 2027 Total deaths: 147 2026 Total deaths: 144 2025 Total deaths: 139 2024 Total deaths: 135 2023 Total deaths: 131 2022 Total deaths: 127 2021 Total deaths: 122 2020 Total deaths: 117 2019 Total deaths: 110 2018 Total deaths: 106 2017 Total deaths: 102 2041 Total births: 341 2040 Total births: 341 2039 Total births: 341 2038 Total births: 342 2037 Total births: 342 2036 Total births: 343 2035 Total births: 344 2034 Total births: 345 2033 Total births: 347 2032 Total births: 349 2031 Total births: 351 2030 Total births: 353 2029 Total births: 355 2028 Total births: 359 2027 Total births: 362 2026 Total births: 367 2025 Total births: 372 2024 Total births: 378 2023 Total births: 385 2022 Total births: 388 2021 Total births: 395 2020 Total births: 396 2019 Total births: 398 2018 Total births: 405 2017 Total births: 413 2041 Natural increase: 126 2040 Natural increase: 129 2039 Natural increase: 133 2038 Natural increase: 136 2037 Natural increase: 140 2036 Natural increase: 145 2035 Natural increase: 150 2034 Natural increase: 156 2033 Natural increase: 162 2032 Natural increase: 170 2031 Natural increase: 177 2030 Natural increase: 185 2029 Natural increase: 193 2028 Natural increase: 204 2027 Natural increase: 215 2026 Natural increase: 223 2025 Natural increase: 233 2024 Natural increase: 243 2023 Natural increase: 254 2022 Natural increase: 261 2021 Natural increase: 273 2020 Natural increase: 279 2019 Natural increase: 288 2018 Natural increase: 299 2017 Natural increase: 311 2041 Total deaths: 214 2040 Total deaths: 212 2039 Total deaths: 208 2038 Total deaths: 205 2037 Total deaths: 202 2036 Total deaths: 198 2035 Total deaths: 194 2034 Total deaths: 189 2033 Total deaths: 185 2032 Total deaths: 179 2031 Total deaths: 174 2030 Total deaths: 168 2029 Total deaths: 162 2028 Total deaths: 155 2027 Total deaths: 147 2026 Total deaths: 144 2025 Total deaths: 139 2024 Total deaths: 135 2023 Total deaths: 131 2022 Total deaths: 127 2021 Total deaths: 122 2020 Total deaths: 117 2019 Total deaths: 110 2018 Total deaths: 106 2017 Total deaths: 102 2041 Total births: 341 2040 Total births: 341 2039 Total births: 341 2038 Total births: 342 2037 Total births: 342 2036 Total births: 343 2035 Total births: 344 2034 Total births: 345 2033 Total births: 347 2032 Total births: 349 2031 Total births: 351 2030 Total births: 353 2029 Total births: 355 2028 Total births: 359 2027 Total births: 362 2026 Total births: 367 2025 Total births: 372 2024 Total births: 378 2023 Total births: 385 2022 Total births: 388 2021 Total births: 395 2020 Total births: 396 2019 Total births: 398 2018 Total births: 405 2017 Total births: 413
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: -134 2040 Total net migration: -143 2039 Total net migration: -153 2038 Total net migration: -167 2037 Total net migration: -170 2036 Total net migration: -186 2035 Total net migration: -202 2034 Total net migration: -221 2033 Total net migration: -246 2032 Total net migration: -268 2031 Total net migration: -280 2030 Total net migration: -299 2029 Total net migration: -331 2028 Total net migration: -362 2027 Total net migration: -394 2026 Total net migration: -446 2025 Total net migration: -468 2024 Total net migration: -489 2023 Total net migration: -489 2022 Total net migration: -399 2021 Total net migration: -475 2020 Total net migration: -234 2019 Total net migration: -244 2018 Total net migration: -461 2017 Total net migration: -401 2041 Total out migration: 3,170 2040 Total out migration: 3,174 2039 Total out migration: 3,179 2038 Total out migration: 3,186 2037 Total out migration: 3,193 2036 Total out migration: 3,202 2035 Total out migration: 3,214 2034 Total out migration: 3,227 2033 Total out migration: 3,244 2032 Total out migration: 3,263 2031 Total out migration: 3,283 2030 Total out migration: 3,304 2029 Total out migration: 3,329 2028 Total out migration: 3,359 2027 Total out migration: 3,392 2026 Total out migration: 3,428 2025 Total out migration: 3,467 2024 Total out migration: 3,510 2023 Total out migration: 3,554 2022 Total out migration: 3,584 2021 Total out migration: 3,628 2020 Total out migration: 3,639 2019 Total out migration: 3,651 2018 Total out migration: 3,700 2017 Total out migration: 3,716 2041 Total in migration: 3,036 2040 Total in migration: 3,031 2039 Total in migration: 3,026 2038 Total in migration: 3,019 2037 Total in migration: 3,023 2036 Total in migration: 3,016 2035 Total in migration: 3,012 2034 Total in migration: 3,006 2033 Total in migration: 2,998 2032 Total in migration: 2,995 2031 Total in migration: 3,003 2030 Total in migration: 3,005 2029 Total in migration: 2,999 2028 Total in migration: 2,997 2027 Total in migration: 2,998 2026 Total in migration: 2,983 2025 Total in migration: 3,000 2024 Total in migration: 3,021 2023 Total in migration: 3,065 2022 Total in migration: 3,185 2021 Total in migration: 3,153 2020 Total in migration: 3,405 2019 Total in migration: 3,407 2018 Total in migration: 3,239 2017 Total in migration: 3,316 2041 Total net migration: -134 2040 Total net migration: -143 2039 Total net migration: -153 2038 Total net migration: -167 2037 Total net migration: -170 2036 Total net migration: -186 2035 Total net migration: -202 2034 Total net migration: -221 2033 Total net migration: -246 2032 Total net migration: -268 2031 Total net migration: -280 2030 Total net migration: -299 2029 Total net migration: -331 2028 Total net migration: -362 2027 Total net migration: -394 2026 Total net migration: -446 2025 Total net migration: -468 2024 Total net migration: -489 2023 Total net migration: -489 2022 Total net migration: -399 2021 Total net migration: -475 2020 Total net migration: -234 2019 Total net migration: -244 2018 Total net migration: -461 2017 Total net migration: -401 2041 Total out migration: 3,170 2040 Total out migration: 3,174 2039 Total out migration: 3,179 2038 Total out migration: 3,186 2037 Total out migration: 3,193 2036 Total out migration: 3,202 2035 Total out migration: 3,214 2034 Total out migration: 3,227 2033 Total out migration: 3,244 2032 Total out migration: 3,263 2031 Total out migration: 3,283 2030 Total out migration: 3,304 2029 Total out migration: 3,329 2028 Total out migration: 3,359 2027 Total out migration: 3,392 2026 Total out migration: 3,428 2025 Total out migration: 3,467 2024 Total out migration: 3,510 2023 Total out migration: 3,554 2022 Total out migration: 3,584 2021 Total out migration: 3,628 2020 Total out migration: 3,639 2019 Total out migration: 3,651 2018 Total out migration: 3,700 2017 Total out migration: 3,716 2041 Total in migration: 3,036 2040 Total in migration: 3,031 2039 Total in migration: 3,026 2038 Total in migration: 3,019 2037 Total in migration: 3,023 2036 Total in migration: 3,016 2035 Total in migration: 3,012 2034 Total in migration: 3,006 2033 Total in migration: 2,998 2032 Total in migration: 2,995 2031 Total in migration: 3,003 2030 Total in migration: 3,005 2029 Total in migration: 2,999 2028 Total in migration: 2,997 2027 Total in migration: 2,998 2026 Total in migration: 2,983 2025 Total in migration: 3,000 2024 Total in migration: 3,021 2023 Total in migration: 3,065 2022 Total in migration: 3,185 2021 Total in migration: 3,153 2020 Total in migration: 3,405 2019 Total in migration: 3,407 2018 Total in migration: 3,239 2017 Total in migration: 3,316
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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