Bega Valley ShirePopulation forecast
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Bega District

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Bega District indicate a 14.0% increase in population under working age, a 36.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 6.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Bega Valley Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Bega District - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43536.63666.13825.8+28
5 to 93676.94307.14436.7+76
10 to 143556.74297.14436.7+88
15 to 193356.33585.93895.9+54
20 to 243125.92564.22904.4-22
25 to 292544.82674.42794.2+25
30 to 343075.83075.13034.6-3
35 to 392705.13295.43405.2+70
40 to 442715.13335.53415.2+70
45 to 493396.43225.33525.4+13
50 to 543616.83666.14076.2+46
55 to 593676.94166.94136.3+46
60 to 643426.43946.54056.2+63
65 to 692745.23666.14086.2+134
70 to 742374.53435.73946.0+157
75 to 792003.82814.63665.6+165
80 to 841863.52193.63044.6+118
85 and over1863.52684.43124.7+126
Total persons5,316100.06,050100.06,571100.0+1,254

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 312 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 304 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 366 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 394 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 408 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 405 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 413 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 407 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 352 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 341 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 340 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 303 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 279 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 290 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 389 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 443 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 443 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 382 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 268 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 219 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 281 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 343 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 366 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 394 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 416 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 366 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 322 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 333 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 329 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 307 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 267 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 256 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 358 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 429 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 430 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 366 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 186 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 186 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 200 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 237 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 274 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 342 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 367 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 361 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 339 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 271 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 270 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 307 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 254 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 312 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 335 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 355 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 367 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 353
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 44 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 85 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 85 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 51 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 42 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -3 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 41 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 30 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -4 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 34 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 31 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 16 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 82 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 33 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 80 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 106 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 92 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 52 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 49 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 5 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -17 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 62 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 59 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 0 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -56 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 22 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 75 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 63 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 13
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Bega District was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 6.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 106 and account for 5.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 430 persons.

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