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Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast

Warragul (North)

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Warragul (North) indicate a 23.4% increase in females under working age, a 16.8% increase in females of retirement age, and a 16.4% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Baw Baw Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Warragul (North) - Total females202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45246.76917.58957.0+371
5 to 94445.75896.48406.6+396
10 to 144846.25125.67776.1+293
15 to 194255.55315.87405.8+315
20 to 244666.05496.07646.0+298
25 to 296278.06807.48997.0+271
30 to 346127.87398.09507.4+339
35 to 395316.86477.08696.8+338
40 to 444165.35496.07666.0+350
45 to 494465.74975.47605.9+313
50 to 544485.74955.47195.6+271
55 to 594355.65015.56945.4+260
60 to 644726.14905.36665.2+194
65 to 694355.65115.66625.2+227
70 to 743915.04444.86234.9+232
75 to 792903.73493.85104.0+220
80 to 841922.52222.43752.9+182
85 and over1612.11902.12902.3+129
Total persons7,799100.09,188100.012,800100.0+5,001
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Warragul (North) was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 8.0% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 167 and account for 7.5% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 739 females.

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