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City of BallaratPopulation forecast

City of Ballarat

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in City of Ballarat is forecast to grow from 45,653 in 2016 to 63,324 in 2036, with the average household size remaining stable from 2.40 to 2.40 by 2036.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the City of Ballarat. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
City of BallaratForecast year
Change in population (5yrs)--10,32010,08310,01510,285
Average annual change--1.92%1.71%1.57%1.49%
Average household size2.402.412.412.402.40
Population in non private dwellings2,3002,3002,3902,4802,510
Dwelling occupancy rate92.1092.5392.7592.9593.10
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of City of Ballarat was estimated to be 103,405 people. It is expected to increase by over 30,418 people to 133,823 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 2.61%. This is based on an increase of over 12,603 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household remaining stable from 2.40 to 2.40 by 2026.

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