City of BallaratPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Ballarat

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Ballarat is 15-19 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Ballarat depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • The City's growth will be heavily influenced by the new housing opportunities in the Ballarat West Growth Area (Alfredton, Delacombe, Sebastopol, Cardigan-Lucas-Bunkers Hill and Bonshaw-Smythes Creek). These areas are expected to attract predominantly young couples and families.
  • Gain of young adults (15-19 years), both upper secondary and tertiary students, from surrounding areas, other parts of western Victoria and overseas.
  • Relatively small gains in all age groups over 45, reflecting the City's regional role in providing employment, health and other services.
  • Minor loss of young adults in their late twenties (both home leavers and former students) leaving the City to find employment and education opportunities elsewhere, especially in Melbourne.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 69 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 35 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 29 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 42 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 224 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 249 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 287 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 342 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 592 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 731 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 832 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 430 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 121 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 514 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 914 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 439 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 639 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 1,005 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 75 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 111 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 134 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 83 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 274 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 300 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 248 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 405 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 551 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 910 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 948 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 433 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -207 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 541 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,222 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 563 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 625 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 844 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 69 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 35 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 29 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 42 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 224 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 249 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 287 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 342 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 592 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 731 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 832 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 430 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 121 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 514 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 914 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 439 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 639 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 1,005 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 75 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 111 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 134 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 83 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 274 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 300 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 248 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 405 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 551 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 910 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 948 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 433 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -207 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 541 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,222 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 563 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 625 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 844
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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