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City of BallaratPopulation forecast

City of Ballarat

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Ballarat is 15-19 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Ballarat depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • The City's growth will be heavily influenced by the new housing opportunities in the Ballarat West Growth Area (Alfredton, Delacombe, Sebastopol, Cardigan-Lucas-Bunkers Hill and Bonshaw-Smythes Creek). These areas are expected to attract predominantly young couples and families.
  • Gain of young adults (15-19 years), both upper secondary and tertiary students, from surrounding areas, other parts of western Victoria and overseas.
  • Relatively small gains in all age groups over 45, reflecting the City's regional role in providing employment, health and other services.
  • Minor loss of young adults in their late twenties (both home leavers and former students) leaving the City to find employment and education opportunities elsewhere, especially in Melbourne.

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