City of BallaratPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Ballarat

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the City of Ballarat is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 10,319 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
City of BallaratForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--6,9447,4147,9118,577
Deaths--4,6864,9165,2905,694
Natural increase/decrease--2,2582,4982,6212,882
Net migration--8,0627,4947,3057,372
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--0909030

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 2,074 2035 forecast population change: 2,069 2034 forecast population change: 2,008 2033 forecast population change: 2,042 2032 forecast population change: 2,091 2031 forecast population change: 1,981 2030 forecast population change: 2,065 2029 forecast population change: 2,019 2028 forecast population change: 1,987 2027 forecast population change: 1,964 2026 forecast population change: 1,929 2025 forecast population change: 1,992 2024 forecast population change: 1,950 2023 forecast population change: 2,118 2022 forecast population change: 2,094 2021 forecast population change: 1,999 2020 forecast population change: 2,012 2019 forecast population change: 2,067 2018 forecast population change: 2,264 2017 forecast population change: 1,978
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 604 2035 Natural increase: 589 2034 Natural increase: 576 2033 Natural increase: 564 2032 Natural increase: 549 2031 Natural increase: 539 2030 Natural increase: 530 2029 Natural increase: 522 2028 Natural increase: 516 2027 Natural increase: 513 2026 Natural increase: 509 2025 Natural increase: 506 2024 Natural increase: 501 2023 Natural increase: 494 2022 Natural increase: 488 2021 Natural increase: 481 2020 Natural increase: 472 2019 Natural increase: 460 2018 Natural increase: 439 2017 Natural increase: 405 2036 Total deaths: 1,170 2035 Total deaths: 1,155 2034 Total deaths: 1,139 2033 Total deaths: 1,123 2032 Total deaths: 1,108 2031 Total deaths: 1,090 2030 Total deaths: 1,074 2029 Total deaths: 1,058 2028 Total deaths: 1,042 2027 Total deaths: 1,026 2026 Total deaths: 1,011 2025 Total deaths: 995 2024 Total deaths: 983 2023 Total deaths: 969 2022 Total deaths: 958 2021 Total deaths: 947 2020 Total deaths: 939 2019 Total deaths: 931 2018 Total deaths: 928 2017 Total deaths: 941 2036 Total births: 1,775 2035 Total births: 1,744 2034 Total births: 1,715 2033 Total births: 1,686 2032 Total births: 1,656 2031 Total births: 1,630 2030 Total births: 1,604 2029 Total births: 1,580 2028 Total births: 1,558 2027 Total births: 1,539 2026 Total births: 1,521 2025 Total births: 1,502 2024 Total births: 1,484 2023 Total births: 1,463 2022 Total births: 1,445 2021 Total births: 1,428 2020 Total births: 1,411 2019 Total births: 1,391 2018 Total births: 1,367 2017 Total births: 1,346 2036 Natural increase: 604 2035 Natural increase: 589 2034 Natural increase: 576 2033 Natural increase: 564 2032 Natural increase: 549 2031 Natural increase: 539 2030 Natural increase: 530 2029 Natural increase: 522 2028 Natural increase: 516 2027 Natural increase: 513 2026 Natural increase: 509 2025 Natural increase: 506 2024 Natural increase: 501 2023 Natural increase: 494 2022 Natural increase: 488 2021 Natural increase: 481 2020 Natural increase: 472 2019 Natural increase: 460 2018 Natural increase: 439 2017 Natural increase: 405 2036 Total deaths: 1,170 2035 Total deaths: 1,155 2034 Total deaths: 1,139 2033 Total deaths: 1,123 2032 Total deaths: 1,108 2031 Total deaths: 1,090 2030 Total deaths: 1,074 2029 Total deaths: 1,058 2028 Total deaths: 1,042 2027 Total deaths: 1,026 2026 Total deaths: 1,011 2025 Total deaths: 995 2024 Total deaths: 983 2023 Total deaths: 969 2022 Total deaths: 958 2021 Total deaths: 947 2020 Total deaths: 939 2019 Total deaths: 931 2018 Total deaths: 928 2017 Total deaths: 941 2036 Total births: 1,775 2035 Total births: 1,744 2034 Total births: 1,715 2033 Total births: 1,686 2032 Total births: 1,656 2031 Total births: 1,630 2030 Total births: 1,604 2029 Total births: 1,580 2028 Total births: 1,558 2027 Total births: 1,539 2026 Total births: 1,521 2025 Total births: 1,502 2024 Total births: 1,484 2023 Total births: 1,463 2022 Total births: 1,445 2021 Total births: 1,428 2020 Total births: 1,411 2019 Total births: 1,391 2018 Total births: 1,367 2017 Total births: 1,346
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 1,470 2035 Total net migration: 1,480 2034 Total net migration: 1,432 2033 Total net migration: 1,478 2032 Total net migration: 1,513 2031 Total net migration: 1,441 2030 Total net migration: 1,534 2029 Total net migration: 1,497 2028 Total net migration: 1,471 2027 Total net migration: 1,361 2026 Total net migration: 1,419 2025 Total net migration: 1,485 2024 Total net migration: 1,449 2023 Total net migration: 1,624 2022 Total net migration: 1,516 2021 Total net migration: 1,518 2020 Total net migration: 1,540 2019 Total net migration: 1,607 2018 Total net migration: 1,825 2017 Total net migration: 1,573 2036 Total out migration: 11,826 2035 Total out migration: 11,650 2034 Total out migration: 11,482 2033 Total out migration: 11,310 2032 Total out migration: 11,133 2031 Total out migration: 10,970 2030 Total out migration: 10,795 2029 Total out migration: 10,628 2028 Total out migration: 10,466 2027 Total out migration: 10,303 2026 Total out migration: 10,152 2025 Total out migration: 9,996 2024 Total out migration: 9,846 2023 Total out migration: 9,679 2022 Total out migration: 9,502 2021 Total out migration: 9,355 2020 Total out migration: 9,208 2019 Total out migration: 9,059 2018 Total out migration: 8,857 2017 Total out migration: 8,695 2036 Total in migration: 13,296 2035 Total in migration: 13,130 2034 Total in migration: 12,914 2033 Total in migration: 12,788 2032 Total in migration: 12,646 2031 Total in migration: 12,411 2030 Total in migration: 12,330 2029 Total in migration: 12,125 2028 Total in migration: 11,937 2027 Total in migration: 11,665 2026 Total in migration: 11,571 2025 Total in migration: 11,482 2024 Total in migration: 11,296 2023 Total in migration: 11,304 2022 Total in migration: 11,018 2021 Total in migration: 10,872 2020 Total in migration: 10,748 2019 Total in migration: 10,665 2018 Total in migration: 10,682 2017 Total in migration: 10,268 2036 Total net migration: 1,470 2035 Total net migration: 1,480 2034 Total net migration: 1,432 2033 Total net migration: 1,478 2032 Total net migration: 1,513 2031 Total net migration: 1,441 2030 Total net migration: 1,534 2029 Total net migration: 1,497 2028 Total net migration: 1,471 2027 Total net migration: 1,361 2026 Total net migration: 1,419 2025 Total net migration: 1,485 2024 Total net migration: 1,449 2023 Total net migration: 1,624 2022 Total net migration: 1,516 2021 Total net migration: 1,518 2020 Total net migration: 1,540 2019 Total net migration: 1,607 2018 Total net migration: 1,825 2017 Total net migration: 1,573 2036 Total out migration: 11,826 2035 Total out migration: 11,650 2034 Total out migration: 11,482 2033 Total out migration: 11,310 2032 Total out migration: 11,133 2031 Total out migration: 10,970 2030 Total out migration: 10,795 2029 Total out migration: 10,628 2028 Total out migration: 10,466 2027 Total out migration: 10,303 2026 Total out migration: 10,152 2025 Total out migration: 9,996 2024 Total out migration: 9,846 2023 Total out migration: 9,679 2022 Total out migration: 9,502 2021 Total out migration: 9,355 2020 Total out migration: 9,208 2019 Total out migration: 9,059 2018 Total out migration: 8,857 2017 Total out migration: 8,695 2036 Total in migration: 13,296 2035 Total in migration: 13,130 2034 Total in migration: 12,914 2033 Total in migration: 12,788 2032 Total in migration: 12,646 2031 Total in migration: 12,411 2030 Total in migration: 12,330 2029 Total in migration: 12,125 2028 Total in migration: 11,937 2027 Total in migration: 11,665 2026 Total in migration: 11,571 2025 Total in migration: 11,482 2024 Total in migration: 11,296 2023 Total in migration: 11,304 2022 Total in migration: 11,018 2021 Total in migration: 10,872 2020 Total in migration: 10,748 2019 Total in migration: 10,665 2018 Total in migration: 10,682 2017 Total in migration: 10,268
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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